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Will Israel bomb Iranian nuclear facilities?

Current forecast: 21% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 21% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/meast/06/25/iran.nuclear/index.html

Israel created a stir after bombing an alleged nuclear site in Syria. Will they do the same in Iran? I can only imagine the backlash they'd receive, but tensions seem high.
 
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Yes
21%
No
79%
Activity: H$8,602
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 25th Jun 1:47pm PDT by cjg999
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (23)

23 predictions

21 hours ago
hankmz predicted Yes (H$100 at 21%)
3 days ago
monkeyx predicted Yes (H$100 at 21%)
1 week ago
cjg999 predicted Yes (H$100 at 16%)
2 weeks ago
vadchen predicted Yes (H$50 at 24%)
3 weeks ago
whtimo predicted Yes (H$100 at 24%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 frank2877
The question should probably be "when" not will they.
posted 10 weeks ago
  2 cjg999
Interesting related article on CNN - Israel bombed an Iraqi nuclear facility in 1981 and the US is allegedly "preparing the battlefield" for Iran.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/meast/06/29/us.iran/index.html
posted 9 weeks ago

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