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Will Canada Legalize Private Health Insurance in 2008?

Current forecast: 14% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 14% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Back in the 1960s, Castonguay chaired a Canadian government committee studying health reform and recommended that his home province of Quebec — then the largest and most affluent in the country — adopt government-administered health care, covering all citizens through tax levies.

Castonguay's work triggered a domino effect across the country, until eventually his ideas were implemented from coast to coast.

Four decades later, as the chairman of a government committee reviewing Quebec health care this year, Castonguay concluded that the system is in "crisis."

"We thought we could resolve the system's problems by rationing services or injecting massive amounts of new money into it," says Castonguay. But now he prescribes a radical overhaul: "We are proposing to give a greater role to the private sector so that people can exercise freedom of choice."

Castonguay advocates contracting out services to the private sector, going so far as suggesting that public hospitals rent space during off-hours to entrepreneurial doctors. He supports co-pays for patients who want to see physicians. Castonguay, the man who championed public health insurance in Canada, now urges for the legalization of private health insurance.
http://www.investors.com/editorial/editorialcontent.asp?secid=1502&status=article&id=299282509335931

Will Canada Legalize Private Health Insurance in 2008?
Full, complete and unrestricted legalization not required for a YES settlement. Legalization of Private Health Insurance for Canadians in part or in whole will settle as a YES.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
14%
No
86%
Activity: H$19,096
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 26th Jun 5:53pm PDT by fingers_of_fury

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (49)

49 predictions

13 hours ago
evanp predicted No (H$50 at 86%)
2 days ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 82%)
2 weeks ago
rmpdr predicted No (H$75 at 78%)
3 weeks ago
mbushey predicted No (H$100 at 78%)
3 weeks ago
storekeeperathscm predicted No (H$50 at 78%)
more

Comments (4)

This part of the article was significant:

De Vires is far from unusual in seeking medical treatment in the U.S. Even Canadian government officials send patients across the border, increasingly looking to American medicine to deal with their overload of patients and chronic shortage of care.

Since the spring of 2006, Ontario's government has sent at least 164 patients to New York and Michigan for neurosurgery emergencies — defined by the Globe and Mail newspaper as "broken necks, burst aneurysms and other types of bleeding in or around the brain." Other provinces have followed Ontario's example.


Good article - worth the read
posted 22 weeks ago
I wonder how many MSM outlets will cover this story in the U.S.? Not a lot, I'd wager.
posted 22 weeks ago
  4 spyder
Given the fact that Canada just went into election mode, not much is going to get passed in 2008. the only scenario I can envision where this is settled as Yes is if the Conservatives win a majority, in the Oct 14 election, and then get to pass all the laws that they want... This may actually be more likely than we realize...
posted 11 weeks ago

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