Created Thu 26th Jun 8:25pm PDT by 
fingers_of_fury
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » fingers_of_fury 
Will McCain win his home state of Arizona in the Presidential Election?
Current forecast: 87% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 87% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Can McCain deliver his home state?
Even in Arizona his rift with the far right is cutting into his 'favorite son' appeal.
Phoenix - For a senator who consistently gets 80 percent approval ratings from Arizonans, it seems strange, bizarre even, that John McCain would not be a shoo-in to win his home state in November's presidential election. Some in-state analysts say chances are fair, in fact, that Arizona will end up in the Democratic column.
http://www.sedona.biz/can-mccain-deliver-arizona0108.htm
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$53,455
Question suspends in 3 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 60%
Action history:
Created Thu 26th Jun 8:25pm PDT by fingers_of_fury
fingers_of_fury
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/24/us/politics/24arizona.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
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