Created Thu 26th Jun 8:42pm PDT by

All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 »

Will John McCain have more than 5 weekend campaign events during July?

Settled as No

Looking at John McCain's calender on his site ( http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Calendar/Default.aspx ) no weekend events were shown.

Background:

The Politico reports that since February John McCain has held only one campaign event during a weekend. With the campaign heating up and polls showing McCain in need of a boost what will McCain do?

Obama does campaign on weekends where he's able to pull together larger rallies because supporters don't work. At a time when McCain is in desperate need of a rejuvenated base, weekend events may be one way to help.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Yes

95%

Activity: H$60,616

Settled as No on Wed 30th Jul 8:05pm PDT

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market is based on public campaign events.

Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Wed 30th Jul 8:05pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Thu 26th Jun 8:42pm PDT by

ryanj

Suspended Wed 30th Jul 12:43am PDT by

newswrangler [Power User]

: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Wed 30th Jul 12:43am PDT by

newswrangler [Power User]

: show details

I dunno how to support settlement of this ... I looked at the calendar, linked below, during the month, and there were ZERO events on weekends.

Unfortunately, the calendar doesn't show "past events".

I'm suspending this, as there aren't anymore weekends in July.

If you need an assist looking at Google news to see where McCain was, lemmee know...

I do note that no one submitted "yes" links during this period of time.

<http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Calendar/>
(market suspended)

Settled as 'No' Wed 30th Jul 8:05pm PDT by

ryanj

: show details

Looking at John McCain's calender on his site ( http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Calendar/Default.aspx ) no weekend events were shown.

read less

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market is based on public campaign events.... read all

Predictions (74)

74 predictions

11 weeks ago

owriet predicted No (H$100 at 95%)

12 weeks ago

timwindsor predicted Yes (H$50 at 26%)

Comments (5)

randburg

There are four weekends in July. To settle as YES, EACH of the four weekends must show MORE than five events. As the question does not say "some" or "any" or any limiting words, I presume that the same criteria applies to ALL weekends in July. And I have made my prediction accordingly...

posted 15 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

No. To settle as yes, there must be 5 events spread out over the 4 weekends. (For instance 3 one weekend and 2 the next could settle the question halfway through the month)

After Ryan clarifies this common sense reading of the question you can ask him to void your bet.

posted 15 weeks ago

ryanj

Hi Randburg,

As Jenni said all that needs to happen is McCain having 5 events spread over the four weekends in July. The market is not asking about every weekend. I've edited the market to make it's intent clear.

Regadrs,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor

posted 15 weeks ago

randburg

Thank you for the edit and the clarification. I've adjusted my prediction accordingly and promise to work on my "common sense" to suit jenni...I wish I had a snapshot of the question before the edit, so that I could see what I missed.

posted 15 weeks ago

crowe

http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Calendar/

doesn't appear to work weekends. :)

posted 12 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more

Related News

This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags

score: 10

Obama's Trip: No Bounce, Flags, or Wounded Soldiers .

NewsMax.com 10 weeks ago

credentials as a foreign policy and potential military leader - the strong suit of his Republican rival Sen. John McCain. Despite the media love fest over the political junket, Obama has yet to pull away from McCain in the polls. His campaign had

score: 10

Another Bad Week for McCain - Apparently It CAN Get Worse, Says Democratic National Committee .

Earthtimes.org 11 weeks ago

WASHINGTON, July 25 DC-BadWeek-for-McCain WASHINGTON, July 25 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Another week of bad news, bad reviews and campaign chaos for the McCain campaign. The only change: the campaign's increasingly desperate response. (Logo:

score: 10

The Speech: First Thoughts .

Washington Post 11 weeks ago

pronouncement taken almost verbatim from -- a speech that was turned into a powerful television ad by his campaign. Obama's candidacy is fueled by the idea -- unspoken but very real -- that a man and a moment have met, and the result could be the

score: 10

The Filter: July 23, 2008 .

MSNBC Newsweek 11 weeks ago

that later. (Carrie Budoff Brown, Politico) Democrat Barack Obama doesn?t travel light. Halfway around the world, the Obama campaign machine appears as sprawling and seamless as it is on its home turf. As the presumptive Democratic nominee tours five

score: 10

The Filter: July 21, 2008 .

MSNBC Newsweek 11 weeks ago

about atmospherics, with the foreign locales serving as sophisticated props. MORE: Obama Asserts His Americanness (Ben Smith, Politico) Barack Obama will appear this week before the American public in a new role: as an American abroad. And he's putting