
How many of these four battleground states (MN, MI, WI, CO) will Obama win?
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/06/26/poll-obama-tops-mccain-in-4-battlegr
ound-states/
Data from the poll:
The largest gap exists with 17 percent, 54-37, of Minnesota’s 1,572 like voters preferring Obama over Republican John McCain. The margin of error was 2.5 percent.
In Michigan, 1,411 likely voters put Obama over McCain 48-42 percent, with a margin of error of 2.6 percent.
In Wisconsin, 1,537 likely voters gave Obama a 52-39 advantage over McCain, with a margin of error of 2.5 percent.
In Colorado, 1,351 likely voters gave Obama a 5 point lead over McCain, 49-44, with a margin of error of 2.7 percent.
Big leads for the Big O in Wisconsin and Minnesota with close contests in the other two. So, what will be the outcome in November?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Obama wins the popular vote in all 4 states |
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Obama wins the pop. vote in any 3 of the 4 states |
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Obama wins the pop. vote in any 2 of the 4 states |
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Obama wins the pop.vote in only 1 of the 4 states |
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Obama wins the pop. vote in none of the 4 states |
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Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama wins the popular vote in all 4 states: 25%, Obama wins the pop. vote in any 3 of the 4 states: 30%, Obama wins the pop. vote in any 2 of the 4 states: 35%, Obama wins the pop.vote in only 1 of the 4 states: 7%, Obama wins the pop. vote in none of the 4 states: 3%
Action history:
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (43)
43 predictions
Comments (1)
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