Will Avril Lavigne's YouTube clip of Girlfriend Become the Most Watched Clip of All Time?
Settled as Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive)
http://blog.wired.com/music/2008/07/avril-lavigne-a.html
http://www.youtube.com/browse?s=mp&t=a&c=0&l=&b=0
Background:
Background: Avril Lavigne's Girlfriend - Really (Really) Annoying (Annoying) Song to get Highest Hits on YouTube?
Avril Lavigne fans are leading the charge to have her song Girlfriend become the 'most watched' vid on the Tube. It is currently only 1 million hits away from overtaking the number one clip 'Evolution of Dance' in which comedian Judson Laipply smoothly demonstrates some iconic dance moves of the past decade.
However, the petite Canadian's geeky fans are copping plenty of criticism for their shady tactics. One site, the Avril Bandaids, has created a special webpage which automatically reloads the clip every 15 seconds, adding another hit to the clip. The site has advised fans to keep the browser open all day.
This has outraged many, who believe that YouTube hits should remain legitimate representations of public interest which have previously led to such clips of brilliance as 'Dramatic Chipmunk' and the Laughing baby video 'Hahaha'. Will Lavigne make it to number one or will site admins step in? Decide for yourself by checking out the clip...or don't!
Avril Lavigne fans are leading the charge to have her song Girlfriend become the 'most watched' vid on the Tube. It is currently only 1 million hits away from overtaking the number one clip 'Evolution of Dance' in which comedian Judson Laipply smoothly demonstrates some iconic dance moves of the past decade.
However, the petite Canadian's geeky fans are copping plenty of criticism for their shady tactics. One site, the Avril Bandaids, has created a special webpage which automatically reloads the clip every 15 seconds, adding another hit to the clip. The site has advised fans to keep the browser open all day.
This has outraged many, who believe that YouTube hits should remain legitimate representations of public interest which have previously led to such clips of brilliance as 'Dramatic Chipmunk' and the Laughing baby video 'Hahaha'. Will Lavigne make it to number one or will site admins step in? Decide for yourself by checking out the clip...or don't!
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes, before 28 June 2008 |
| |||
| Yes, between 28 June and 15 July 2008 (inclusive) |
| |||
| Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive) |
| |||
| None of the Above/YouTube Admins take action |
|
Settled as Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive) on Sat 19th Jul 2008 12:16am PST
- Activity: H$45,340 |
- Predictions: 123 |
Comments: 31
Suspend date: Wed 30th Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 19th Jul 2008 12:16am PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes, before 28 June 2008: 40%, Yes, between 28 June and 15 July 2008 (inclusive): 20%, Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive): 2%, None of the Above/YouTube Admins take action : 38%
Action history:
Suspended Fri 27th Jun 2008 6:06am PST by 
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Flagged by super user: Can't settle with a "yes after ..." option because we had to wait endlessly.
There is a possibility of not reaching the amount of hits needed, without the admins taking action.
kruijs: Flagged by super user: Can't settle with a "yes after ..." option because we had to wait endlessly.
There is a possibility of not reaching the amount of hits needed, without the admins taking action.
Settlement requested Thu 17th Jul 2008 9:14pm PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: According to Youtube website Avril is currently leading. (market suspended)
destry: According to Youtube website Avril is currently leading. (market suspended)
Settlement requested Thu 17th Jul 2008 10:05pm PST by 
newswrangler
:
This, perhaps, will take an Admin to see it for themselves.
At the moment, clicking on the "Statistics & Data" tab, avril is still #2 (2:05AM July 18, 2008)
<http://www.youtube.com/browse?t=a&p=1&s=mp&c=0&l=>
newswrangler:
This, perhaps, will take an Admin to see it for themselves.
At the moment, clicking on the "Statistics & Data" tab, avril is still #2 (2:05AM July 18, 2008)
<http://www.youtube.com/browse?t=a&p=1&s=mp&c=0&l=>
Unsuspended Fri 18th Jul 2008 12:52am PST by 
tisha
: it appears that EoD is still in front; market is reopened
tisha: it appears that EoD is still in front; market is reopened
Settlement requested Fri 18th Jul 2008 8:11am PST by newswrangler:
As of the moment, Avril is ahead.
The "stats" page hasn't updated, showing it as number one, BUT when you look at the numbers, side-by-side, Avril is ahead on the "stats" page:
<http://www.youtube.com/browse?t=a&p=1&s=mp&c=0&l=>
newswrangler:
As of the moment, Avril is ahead.
The "stats" page hasn't updated, showing it as number one, BUT when you look at the numbers, side-by-side, Avril is ahead on the "stats" page:
<http://www.youtube.com/browse?t=a&p=1&s=mp&c=0&l=>
Suspended Fri 18th Jul 2008 9:10am PST by newswrangler: Flagged by super user:
Suspended pending review of Settlement information.
newswrangler: Flagged by super user:
Suspended pending review of Settlement information.
Settlement requested Fri 18th Jul 2008 12:03pm PST by 
jenniandboys: Settlement source without haggling! http://blog.wired.com/music/2008/07/avril-lavigne-a.html
jenniandboys: Settlement source without haggling! http://blog.wired.com/music/2008/07/avril-lavigne-a.html
Settled as 'Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive)' Sat 19th Jul 2008 12:16am PST by tisha: http://blog.wired.com/music/2008/07/avril-lavigne-a.html
http://www.youtube.com/browse?s=mp&t=a&c=0&l=&b=0
tisha: http://blog.wired.com/music/2008/07/avril-lavigne-a.html
http://www.youtube.com/browse?s=mp&t=a&c=0&l=&b=0
Suspend date: Wed 30th Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 19th Jul 2008 12:16am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (123)
glcooper
predicted Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive) (H$100 at 61%)
aland
predicted Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive) (H$200 at 61%)
sdchargers
predicted Yes, between 16 July and 25 July 2008 (inclusive) (H$100 at 60%)Comments (31)
Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service
Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
score: 10
score: 10
Wired 1 year ago
Fans of popstar Avril Lavigne succeeded in their campaign to make her video for "Girlfriend" the most popular video on YouTube. As of Thursday, the...
score: 10
News & Observer 1 year ago
Google said Wednesday that its YouTube video site will partner with Lions Gate Entertainment to share revenue from ads placed on clips from the ...
score: 10
Contentinople 1 year ago
YouTube Inc.may be taking a small step closer to something resembling monetization: The viral-video enabling Website and Lions Gate Entertainment have signed a deal to share revenue, according to Reuters. The
Related Tags
and Welcome Back Tisha!
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pENCckPHjjhKVKQ6mmbIxPQ
EoD - 90,365,144
AvL - 89,596,895
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=61heClTFc5w
<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/61heClTFc5w&hl=en"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/61heClTFc5w&hl=en" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>
91,275,602
Avril - 91,761,304
EoD = 92,091,718
Avril = 91,896,867
eod 92,266,174
arvil 92,134,348
Avril: 92,260,190
100.30 behind
Evolution of Dance: +1,995,076 viewers
Avril Lavigne: +2,663,295 viewers
The count for both videos at 10:45PM (EDT) is exactly the same as it was two hours ago....
Evolution of Dance: 92,360,220
Avril Lavigne: 92,260,190
Avril - 92,461,091
WOW! Thats close
arvil 92,461,091 53,158 1:04am EST 7-17-08
Avril - 92,546,62
arvil 92,636,966
hope somebody watches this closely. these numbers could go back and forth. arvil could pass eod and nobody will know.
EoD -92,692,117
Avril - 92,696,978
I think the next refresh will change the positions.
eod 92,692,117
arvil 92,696,978
12:20 pm 7-18-08
http://www.hubdub.com/m11628/How_many_NEW_viewers_will_A_Lavignes_Girlfriend_get_as_new_YouTube_1_video_by_the_end_of_July
Please log in or join to add a comment