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Will any murderers of Eve Carson if convicted be sentenced to the death penalty?

Current forecast: 49% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 49% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market will settle based on trial results/plea deals

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
49%
No
51%
Activity: H$2,169
Question suspends in 29 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 29th Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (29 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 28th Jun 6:33am PDT by coolkraft

Suspend date: Mon 29th Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (29 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (12)

12 predictions

16 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$100 at 49%)
21 weeks ago
shamnvik predicted No (H$100 at 50%)
22 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$100 at 50%)
22 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted No (H$300 at 50%)
22 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$100 at 50%)
more

Comments (7)

Do you mean, if convicted, "will they be sentenced" to the death penalty, or "will they be executed"?
posted 22 weeks ago
I forgot to include ... you might wanna consider asking for an edit to change "murderers" to "will any murderer of ..." (for instance, one, or more, might plea bargain to testify in exchange for life imprisonment) -- it all depends on what you want to ask ;-)
posted 22 weeks ago
  3 coolkraft
if convicted will be sentenced to the death penalty....any murderer of...ty again for input
posted 22 weeks ago
  4 coolkraft
where is edit to change?
posted 22 weeks ago
@ coolkraft -- what you wanna do is click on the "Flag for review" link (under the "Make Your Prediction! options), and clearly enter the corrections you want made. This will send a flag to the Category Editor who can then make those changes for you.

If users have already made predictions on what they thought the original market question meant -- different from any edited version, they can flag the Category Editor after seeing the edited changes, and request their individual predictions be voided.

BTW, as this is a trial (that hasn't begun), you may want to ask that the suspend date be changed -- to at least a year. You could also ask that a "settlement condition" be added to the question (the question itself, or to the "settlement details") ... something like "This will settle upon trial, or acceptance of guilty pleas, and sentencing of all defendants."

Last ;-) you could request that your news keywords be added to include "Eve Carson". That will likely draw in more relevant news for users to follow, than what you currently have ;-)
posted 22 weeks ago

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