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Created Sat 28th Jun 9:06am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
All questions » Entertainment » Movies » 

Will Billboard's # 1 top soundtrack on 7/31/08 be from a movie released in July 08?

Settled as Yes

Yes - updated weekly chart out today, Mamma Mia is number 1
http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Albums&f=Top+Soundtracks

Background:

Soundtrack sales sometimes lag the dates that a movie is shown in theatres (City of Angels). This market asks the question, will any of the July 2008 releases listed below also have a succesful soundtrack? To settle for a yes the #1 soundtrack on Billboards Top 10 Soundtrack chart, as accessed on 7/31/08 will be from one of these films.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

 Yes
35%
No
65%
Activity: H$18,269
Settled as Yes on Thu 31st Jul 7:01am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Albums&f=Top+Soundtracks

If you have diffiulty with this link I accessed by a Google search for Billboard Soundtrack Chart.

Suspension date is the last Friday in July, last day in July is the following Thursday.

Suspend date: Sat 26th Jul 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Thu 31st Jul 7:01am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 26th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Sat 28th Jun 9:06am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Sat 26th Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 31st Jul 7:01am PDT by tisha[Admin]: show details
Yes - updated weekly chart out today, Mamma Mia is number 1
http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Albums&f=Top+Soundtracks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Albums&f=Top+Soundtracks ... read all

 

Predictions (45)

45 predictions

11 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$1,000 at 64%)
11 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 35%)
11 weeks ago
steez predicted No (H$50 at 67%)
11 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Yes (H$100 at 33%)
11 weeks ago
bency predicted No (H$200 at 67%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 valornhonor[Power User]
This year has a lot of big exciting movies and July should be no exception, however the corresponding soundtracks have not been massive hits lately. The current top 10 soundtrack sales, as tracked by Billboard.com at time of market creation are:

1.) Camp Rock
2.) Sex and the City
3.) iCarly
4.) Juno
5.) Alvin and the Chipmunks
6.) Hannah Montana II (now with a full 52 weeks on the chart!)
7.) Flight of the Conchords
8.) Across the Universe, Deluxe Edition
9.) High School Musical II
10.) Hairspray

During July the following movies will be released. To settle for YES one of these will hold the top spot for soundtracks on Billboard.com on 7/31/08, regardless of the date of the chart, simply what shown in the first position on 7/31/08.

July, 2 Hancock
July, 2 Kit Kittredge: An American Girl (expansion to wide release)
July, 3 The Wackness (exclusive)
July, 4 Gonzo: The Life and Work of Dr. Hunter S. Thompson (limited)
July, 4 Diminished Capacity (exclusive)
July, 4 Holding Trevor (exclusive)
July, 4 Kabluey (exclusive)
July, 4 Tell No One (exclusive)
July, 11 Hellboy 2: The Golden Army
July, 11 Journey 3-D
July, 11 Meet Dave
July, 11 Garden Party (limited)
July, 11 A Man Named Pearl (limited, re-release)
July, 11 The Stone Angel (limited)
July, 11 August (exclusive)
July, 11 Roman Polanski: Wanted and Desired (exclusive)
July, 18 The Dark Knight
July, 18 Mamma Mia!
July, 18 Space Chimps
July, 18 Lou Reed's Berlin (limited)
July, 18 Transsiberian (exclusive)
July, 23 Boy A (limited)
July, 25 Step Brothers
July, 25 The X-Files: I Want to Believe
July, 25 American Teen (limited)
July, 25 Brideshead Revisited (limited)
July, 25 No Regret (limited)
July, 25 Severed Ways: The Norse Discovery of America (exclusive)
July, 25 A Thousand Years of Good Prayers (exclusive)
July, 30 The Rocker
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 lucidstates
$500 bucks says YESSS :-D
posted 15 weeks ago
  3 lucidstates
$472 more Hbucks say YESSS :-D
posted 15 weeks ago
  4 lucidstates
Here's another $20 on YES! ... That's all I had avail :-P
posted 14 weeks ago
  5 tisha[Admin]
I think this can be settled as yes - they have released the chart for the week of 8/2 (it is usually one week in advance) and the winner is Mamma Mia, which was released in July
posted 11 weeks ago

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