What will happen to the dolphins in New Jersey rivers?
Voided
The nature of this situation has changed significantly since the creation of the question - officials have now decided to leave the dolphins for the time being. As the suspend date has now passed, and none of the outcomes seem to be impending in the near future, unfortunately this question has to be voided.
Background:>
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
What will happen to the dolphins in New Jersey rivers?
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid
Human aid required to return all dolphins to ocean
At least one dolphin dies because of boat contact
At least one dolphin dies of other causes
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Voided
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All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid |
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Human aid required to return all dolphins to ocean |
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At least one dolphin dies because of boat contact |
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At least one dolphin dies of other causes |
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Voided Fri 4th Jul 3:27am PDT
Suspend date: Fri 4th Jul 12:59am PDT
Initial likelihoods:
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid: 25%, Human aid required to return all dolphins to ocean: 45%, At least one dolphin dies because of boat contact: 15%, At least one dolphin dies of other causes: 15%
Action history:
Created Sat 28th Jun 12:07pm PDT by
onedave
Suspended Fri 4th Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Voided Fri 4th Jul 3:27am PDT by
tisha![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
The nature of this situation has changed significantly since the creation of the question - officials have now decided to leave the dolphins for the time being. As the suspend date has now passed, and none of the outcomes seem to be impending in the near future, unfortunately this question has to be voided.
Predictions (42)
42 predictions
21 weeks ago
semperfi76 predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$100 at 27%)
21 weeks ago
cookietime predicted
At least one dolphin dies of other causes (H$50 at 30%)
21 weeks ago
teamdiscoverychannel predicted
Human aid required to return all dolphins to ocean (H$100 at 32%)
21 weeks ago
dannice predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$20 at 29%)
21 weeks ago
kuberak predicted
Human aid required to return all dolphins to ocean (H$100 at 27%)
more21 weeks ago
semperfi76 predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$100 at 27%)
21 weeks ago
cookietime predicted
At least one dolphin dies of other causes (H$50 at 30%)
21 weeks ago
teamdiscoverychannel predicted
Human aid required to return all dolphins to ocean (H$100 at 32%)
21 weeks ago
dannice predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$20 at 29%)
21 weeks ago
kuberak predicted
Human aid required to return all dolphins to ocean (H$100 at 27%)
21 weeks ago
wormmaster predicted
At least one dolphin dies of other causes (H$50 at 26%)
21 weeks ago
brjschmidt predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$50 at 39%)
21 weeks ago
gilliganp predicted
At least one dolphin dies of other causes (H$20 at 25%)
21 weeks ago
kornbred predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$20 at 22%)
21 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$500 at 17%)
21 weeks ago
rgsmith321 predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$20 at 13%)
22 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted
All dolphins return to the ocean without human aid (H$10 at 13%)
22 weeks ago
bernardo predicted
At least one dolphin dies of other causes (H$50 at 25%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (11)
In that case, human aid wasn't required to return all dolphins to the ocean -- only some required human aid;
and, all dolphins didn't require aid to return to the ocean -- only 2 or 3 did (assume no deaths in this scenario).
Assuming no deaths, I only see options for all dolphins with human aid, and all dolphins without human aid -- not some dolphins with (or without) human aid.
My reasoning for giving the options was as follows: The last two options cannot interfere with the first two options. The first option seems pretty uncontroversial. For option two, if the last dolphin requires human aid to return to the ocean, they all return to the ocean and human aid is used to do it.
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