ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
When will the Taliban assert control over Peshwar, Pakistan?
Peshawar remains out of Taliban's control, and although there is a war front south of the city, it is in fact a place of refuge for those displaced by other war fronts in Swat and other places.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/03/world/asia/03pstan.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
Background:
The market will settle based on news reports stating that Peshwar has been taken over by the Taliban, even if it is only temporary.
New York Times Background Article
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Taliban Assumes Control in July |
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Taliban Assumes Control in August |
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Taliban Assumes Control in September |
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No Assumption Of Control Before October |
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Suspend date: Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 2nd Oct 11:41pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Taliban Assumes Control in July: 30%, Taliban Assumes Control in August: 30%, Taliban Assumes Control in September: 20%, No Assumption Of Control Before October: 20%
Action history:
ryanj 
rk725: There is no news that Peshwar is under Taliban control from any major news source 
infernalmachine: Peshawar remains out of Taliban's control, and although there is a war front south of the city, it is in fact a place of refuge for those displaced by other war fronts in Swat and other places.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/03/world/asia/03pstan.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
Suspend date: Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 2nd Oct 11:41pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (67)
67 predictions
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No Assumption Of Control Before October (H$100 at 78%)Comments (2)
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