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If overt US strikes against Iran occur, will McCain's polling numbers increase?
Market voided, not strikes occur.
Background:
Many Americans are already tired of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the prospect of a third front would only increase public uneasiness. McCain's being painted as a "Third Bush Term" and McCain's rhetoric towards Iran and its Nuclear program is aggressive at the least. So what would happen?
For the purposes of this market a strike can be a overt naval blockade. The market is based on US strikes. Also this market relies on the Gallup polls.
The market shall be voided if no US strikes occur prior to the November election.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Because Gallup averages are based on three days, the average on the third day after a strike would be used to settle the market.
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 3:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
destry
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 3:59pm PST
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (95)
95 predictions
doc_honcho
halberdier3
101airborne
mork![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$50 at 47%)
pixelpaws
deelilley
pita_soup
capecodviking
youbetComments (9)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008
Yes if no strikes occur the market shall be voided. Also I've added a clarification to the market that it relies on US strikes. If any users want there predictions voided due to the new clarifications please contact me via a flag an I'll void your prediction.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
Yes. The strikes will need to be US, not Israeli.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
I think it would hurt him though, becuase it confirms a third war if he wins.
Market edited!
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
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