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If Obama is elected will any of the below be attorney general?

Current forecast: None of the above (74% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is None of the above with a probability of 74% (unchanged in last 1 day)

If Obama is not elected as President the market will be voided.
 
Forecast history, %
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Hillary Clinton
2%
John Edwards
7%
Kathleen Sebelius
7%
Patrick Lynch
3%
Janet Reno
2%
Beau Biden
6%
None of the above
74%
Activity: H$12,723
Question suspends in 19 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
The market refers to his first appointed attorney general.

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 7:59am PST (19 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Hillary Clinton: 3%, John Edwards: 10%, Kathleen Sebelius: 10%, Patrick Lynch: 5%, Janet Reno: 2%, Beau Biden: 10%, None of the above: 60%

Action history:

Created Mon 30th Jun 5:24pm PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. ... read all

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

6 days ago
gumby predicted None of the above (H$20 at 70%)
6 days ago
stactimes predicted John Edwards (H$50 at 8%)
2 weeks ago
dillon16 predicted None of the above (H$50 at 71%)
2 weeks ago
angel2766 predicted None of the above (H$50 at 71%)
3 weeks ago
gnostic predicted John Edwards (H$20 at 7%)
more

Comments (5)

Janet Napolitano
posted 9 weeks ago
  2 dieseldog
his first appointed or at any time during his admin?
posted 9 weeks ago
  3 ryanj[Admin]
Hi,

The market refers to his first appointed attorney general.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
posted 9 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
Does this person need to be confirmed by the Senate or just nominated by the President for this to settle?
posted 9 weeks ago
  5 ryanj[Admin]
The market will refer to the appointed person, which means she or he would be confirmed.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
posted 9 weeks ago

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