Created Mon 30th Jun 2008 9:24pm PST by

dragonfangxl Level 7, Pro (H$3,936)

Will Zimbabwe run a new election this year with Morgan Tsvangirai?

Settled as No

Background: Zimbabwe ran a election recently that most of the world considered to be a farce. Currently the US is considering putting embargo's on the country and the African union is considering cutting them out and not recognizing the election. The question is that under all this pressure will Zimbabwe back down?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

91%

Settled as No on Thu 1st Jan 12:16pm PST

Activity: H$23,241
Predictions: 26
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 12:16pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 1:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 22%

Action history:

Created Mon 30th Jun 2008 9:24pm PST by

dragonfangxl Level 7, Pro (H$3,936)

Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 6:57am PST by

orlin

: No.

Settled as 'No' Thu 1st Jan 12:16pm PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

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Predictions (26)

47 weeks ago

mork

predicted No (H$100 at 89%)

1 year ago

brinkj Level 5, Predictor (H$1,571)

predicted No (H$100 at 80%)

1 year ago

richie_edinburgh Level 11, Legend (H$19,039)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 21%)

1 year ago

infernalmachine [Power User]

predicted No (H$300 at 79%)

1 year ago

munirs Level 2, Novice (H$1,067)

predicted No (H$100 at 79%)

Comments (4)

kruijs [Power User]

Be careful with wording a question: "Will X happen or Y" with "YES/NO" answers is quite problematic. The background-info makes it slightly better "will Zimbabwe back down and when" but indicates a prediction about the time frame, which is not possible either.

Will Zimbabwe run a new election this year with Morgan Tsvangirai?
Would do it. I will request an edit to the question accordingly.

posted 1 year ago

lesley [Admin]

Edited question title from "Will Zimbabwe run a new election this year with Morgan Tsvangirai or will the old results stand"

posted 1 year ago

dragonfangxl Level 7, Pro (H$3,936)

Thanks for the advice. Im still a little new to hubdub so all the new advice i can get helps

posted 1 year ago

dragonfangxl Level 7, Pro (H$3,936)

My most successful question yet!

posted 1 year ago

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