Created Mon 30th Jun 10:24pm PDT by
dragonfangxl
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Will Zimbabwe run a new election this year with Morgan Tsvangirai?
Current forecast: 11% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 11% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Zimbabwe ran a election recently that most of the world considered to be a farce. Currently the US is considering putting embargo's on the country and the African union is considering cutting them out and not recognizing the election. The question is that under all this pressure will Zimbabwe back down?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$19,141
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 22%
Action history:
Created Mon 30th Jun 10:24pm PDT by
dragonfangxl
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
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Predictions (21)
21 predictions
Comments (4)
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score: 10
Chicago Tribune 4 days ago
Secretary General Kofi Annan and the wife of former South African President Nelson Mandela were refused entry to Zimbabwe on Saturday. It's no mystery why: President Robert Mugabe doesn't want more witnesses to the human catastrophe within his country's
score: 10
Chicago Tribune 4 days ago
Secretary General Kofi Annan and the wife of former South African President Nelson Mandela were refused entry to Zimbabwe on Saturday. It's no mystery why: President Robert Mugabe doesn't want more witnesses to the human catastrophe within his country's
score: 10
CNN 5 days ago
Opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai said Wednesday that Zimbabwe is in shambles and warned that deaths from starvation and a cholera outbreak threaten to surge with the rainy season approaching. Bemoaning Zimbabwe's decline is a familiar refrain for
score: 10
CNN 5 days ago
Opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai said Wednesday that Zimbabwe is in shambles and warned that deaths from starvation and a cholera outbreak threaten to surge with the rainy season approaching. Bemoaning Zimbabwe's decline is a familiar refrain for
score: 10
CNN 5 days ago
Opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai said Wednesday that Zimbabwe is in shambles and warned that deaths from starvation and a cholera outbreak threaten to surge with the rainy season approaching. Bemoaning Zimbabwe's decline is a familiar refrain for
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39% of previous questions settled successfully
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13 settled, 20 voided




Will Zimbabwe run a new election this year with Morgan Tsvangirai?
Would do it. I will request an edit to the question accordingly.
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