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Will a case of full recovery from HIV infection be reported before 2011?

Current forecast: 21% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 21% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Will the advances of genetic therapy, antibiotics and general biomedicine cause at least one person to fully recover from an infection of the AIDS virus until the end of 2010?
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
21%
No
79%
Activity: H$16,269
Question suspends in 2 years
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source or published scientific paper.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 7:59am PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 1st Jul 6:59am PDT by zaratustra
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source or published scientific paper.... read all

 

Predictions (16)

16 predictions

1 day ago
fellcolor predicted Yes (H$220 at 20%)
3 days ago
hans_wurscht predicted Yes (H$100 at 20%)
1 week ago
emptywin predicted Yes (H$50 at 20%)
3 weeks ago
mrs_evilcl0wn predicted Yes (H$50 at 19%)
4 weeks ago
lpolyak68 predicted No (H$20 at 81%)
more

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