Will charges be laid against any member of Canadian polygamist commune before August?
Settled as No
No charges have yet been laid. But they may be coming the next few weeks ( http://www.canada.com/montrealgazette/news/saturdayextra/story.html?id=e06ee4e8-2dca-4a8c-91e0-4dfc436d662e ) Perhaps the market creator can remake his market after the settlement of this one?
Background:>
Attorney General Wally Oppal has asked a special prosecutor to assess what charges can be laid against residents of a polygamous commune in Bountiful, B.C., and then to begin prosecution immediately.
http://tinyurl.com/59wkek
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Will charges be laid against any member of Canadian polygamist commune before August?
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Forecast history, %
Settled
Activity: H$57,970
Settled as
No on Thu 31st Jul 3:54pm PDT
Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 31st Jul 3:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 40%
Action history:
Created Tue 1st Jul 8:30pm PDT by
mork
Suspended Tue 1st Jul 8:49pm PDT by
mork![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
:
Flagged by super user: please change July to August sorry.
Unsuspended Tue 1st Jul 11:45pm PDT by
lesley![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
Question edited to read "before August" instead of "before July"
Suspended Thu 31st Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 31st Jul 1:44pm PDT by
keyeshoveden:
I think this can be settled no now.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 31st Jul 3:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (68)
68 predictions
17 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No (H$100 at 94%)
17 weeks ago
mork![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
predicted
No (H$5,000 at 93%)
18 weeks ago
greggles predicted
No (H$1,000 at 95%)
18 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted
No (H$4,000 at 94%)
more17 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No (H$100 at 94%)
17 weeks ago
mork![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)
predicted
No (H$5,000 at 93%)
18 weeks ago
greggles predicted
No (H$1,000 at 95%)
18 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted
No (H$4,000 at 94%)
18 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted
No (H$48 at 91%)
18 weeks ago
toejam predicted
No (H$100 at 91%)
18 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted
No (H$250 at 85%)
18 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted
No (H$20 at 81%)
18 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No (H$20 at 81%)
19 weeks ago
pepe predicted
No (H$100 at 77%)
19 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted
Yes (H$26 at 26%)
19 weeks ago
atrane predicted
No (H$709 at 74%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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