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Will PedEgg ped-actors get more cash for ped-ad?

Current forecast: They settle out of court (36% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is They settle out of court with a probability of 36% (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

They win in court
18%
They lose in court
22%
They settle out of court
36%
Case thrown out
21%
other
3%
Activity: H$6,055
Question suspends in 30 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Jul 2009 4:59pm PDT (30 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: They win in court: 24%, They lose in court: 24%, They settle out of court: 24%, Case thrown out: 24%, other: 4%

Action history:

Created Tue 1st Jul 11:24pm PDT by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Jul 2009 4:59pm PDT (30 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

11 weeks ago
kida predicted They settle out of court (H$20 at 36%)
11 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted They lose in court (H$300 at 24%)
12 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted They settle out of court (H$100 at 47%)
15 weeks ago
bobyn42 predicted They settle out of court (H$1,000 at 41%)
20 weeks ago
scrapnpau predicted They settle out of court (H$100 at 36%)
more

Comments (1)

haha... this is a great question mork. makes me giggle :)
posted 21 weeks ago

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