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How much will "Hancock" earn on it's 2nd Weekend?

Settled as $15 million or more

Hancock was #2 at the box office this weekend bringing in a whopping $33 million, so that is 120% more than the $15 million

Background:

Now that the critics won't give Hancock much of a chance, who much will it earn at itīs second weekend at north american box offices?


Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com.
How it works: If the film earns $15.099.999 million, then the "$10.1 million to $15 million" will win....

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

$5 million or less
2%
$5.1 million to $10 million
4%
$10.1 million to $15 million
6%
$15 million or more
88%
Activity: H$102,406
Settled as $15 million or more on Sun 13th Jul 12:17pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 11th Jul 4:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:17pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 11th Jul 4:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: $5 million or less: 20%, $5.1 million to $10 million: 30%, $10.1 million to $15 million: 30%, $15 million or more: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 2nd Jul 9:51am PDT by elfis
Suspended Fri 11th Jul 4:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 13th Jul 12:15pm PDT by lucidstates: Please settle this question with the wining prediction being, "$15 million or More..."

Hancock was #2 at the box office this weekend bringing in a whopping $33 million, so that is 120% more than the $15 million :-D

http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/thisweek.php

Thank you :-D
Settled as '$15 million or more' Sun 13th Jul 12:17pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: Hancock was #2 at the box office this weekend bringing in a whopping $33 million, so that is 120% more than the $15 million

Suspend date: Fri 11th Jul 4:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:17pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 11th Jul 4:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (157)

157 predictions

20 weeks ago
letmewinplees[Power User] predicted $10.1 million to $15 million (H$20 at 6%)
20 weeks ago
sandesh predicted $5.1 million to $10 million (H$100 at 3%)
20 weeks ago
timmstifter predicted $15 million or more (H$9,735 at 97%)
20 weeks ago
satish predicted $10.1 million to $15 million (H$50 at 6%)
20 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted $15 million or more (H$1,000 at 96%)
more

Comments (11)

  1 rooooo
quite a safe bet. i just like it.
posted 21 weeks ago
Totalllllly safe ... It'll make easily $25 - $30 mill noooooo problem ... This is the best guarantee of return on investment on HubDub :-D WOOT :-P
posted 21 weeks ago
Great question ELFIS!! Lots of money being bet on it man :-D I love it :-)
posted 21 weeks ago
  4 scott
Thanks for the easy money at 10-15M. Next week Hellboy II, Journey To the Center of the Earth and Meet Dave.
posted 21 weeks ago
WOW, we finally agree on something :-D I also think HELLBOY2/JttCotE/MeetDave :-D

But I'm betting thousands on $15+ for Hancock next weekend! So we still agree to disagree :-P
posted 21 weeks ago
Okay, so Hancock did $66 million Fri-Sun ... If anyone knows the mathematics of cinema, then you'll know that NO film does only 25% of its prior week Box Office unless either another ultra super mega film like The Dark Knight opens the following week OR it was the worst film of the year. Now looking at next weekend, Hancock has no megas super ultra killer film coming out against it, though some decent films for sure and it is NOT the worst film of the year. I see Hancock falling off about 58% - 60% next weekend, thus bringing in about $26.4 - $27.7 million, with an absolute MAX fall off of 65% week over week, this means that Hancock will still bring in $23.1 million next weekend, AND it if fell a WHOPPING 70%, it'd still bring in nearly $20 million bucks.

I'm betting thousands upon thousands that it will in no way make under $15 million ... In fact, I'm willing to bet ALL I got that that won't happen. But I cannot, as the market max's out and I'd make no money, therefore, anytime it drops, I add more and more :-D

Just letting everyone know ... When you see a sure thing on HubDub, jump on it :-D
posted 21 weeks ago
Wow this things near $100 grand :-D
posted 20 weeks ago
  8 scott
7/10/2008 1 $5,840,165 -8.92% 3,965 $1,473 $132,034,444 9

It will be LUCKY to do 15M...
posted 20 weeks ago
Scott - think you're looking at Thursday instead of Friday. It pulled in 10k yesterday, so 15million looks pretty much like a done deal.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2008-07-11&p=.htm
posted 20 weeks ago
  10 scott
Yeah you're right. I just came back from seeing it - thought it was pretty good. Last time I pay attention to the reviews. There were not many people to see it though and the movieplex was full so maybe it wont do much more....
posted 20 weeks ago
Okay, HANCOCK did $33 million!!!!!!! I am surprised but Hancock has held incredibly well on the weekend, even though its midweek numbers were declining fast, this thing is a weekend treat and it did 120% more than $15 million :-D
I've requested settlement as this number is so big that no adjustment is going to bring it down $18 million.

WOW, $102,406 bet on this Q!! GREAT job creating this one "elfis" I loved it :-D
posted 20 weeks ago

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