morgie 
How many shootings will Chicago have in the summer of 2008?
According to the settlement source 368 persons were either shot and wounded or shot and killed. Many thanks to Morgie for providing settlement details and updates!
http://cbs2chicago.com/local/chicago.summer.shootings.2.810166.html
Background:
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=104675750739697697598.00044e3957099c263f47c&ll=41.79384,-87.61734&spn=0.457659,0.933838&source=embed
We are going by the number of people shot as reported by CBS 2, not the number of full shootings. This is because as the market states, the market is settled by CBS 2's numbers.
Settlement details:
As reported by CBS 2 Chicago.
Settled
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Under 150 |
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151 - 200 |
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201 - 250 |
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251 - 300 |
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301 - 350 |
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Over 350 |
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Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 4th Sep 2:02pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Under 150: 10%, 151 - 200: 10%, 201 - 250: 30%, 251 - 300: 20%, 301 - 350: 15%, Over 350: 15%
Action history:
morgie 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Market suspend date moved to labor day as stated in market ryanj: We are going by the number of people shot as reported by CBS 2, not the number of full shootings. This is because as the market states, the market is settled by CBS 2's numbers. morgie: The shootings have reached well over 350. 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending settlement link. ryanj: According to the settlement source 368 persons were either shot and wounded or shot and killed. Many thanks to Morgie for providing settlement details and updates!
http://cbs2chicago.com/local/chicago.summer.shootings.2.810166.html
Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 4th Sep 2:02pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Looking at the Google Map, it is the instance not the injuries that determine the number. So to get a running tally one would count the waypoints on the map.
As per Morgie's statement we're going by the CBS 2 reporting. Which will mean we are going by the number of people shot (Clarification added into market). This is because as the market states, the market is settled by CBS 2's numbers. Although the Google Maps link may be confusing, I'm going to keep it in and add the clarification under it.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Staff
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