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Will Australia ban Mike Tyson from entering Australia for a poker tournament in January?

Current forecast: 52% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 52% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
52%
No
48%
Activity: H$6,207
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 5:59am PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 3rd Jul 1:50am PDT by curios
Clarified Thu 31st Jul 8:50pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: I have changed the suspend time to be the last minute of 2008 in Sydney, Australia.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

5 weeks ago
pepe predicted Yes (H$20 at 52%)
6 weeks ago
1derkind predicted No (H$50 at 48%)
6 weeks ago
gingerboi predicted No (H$1,000 at 47%)
7 weeks ago
supertrampas predicted No (H$100 at 45%)
8 weeks ago
steveb predicted No (H$100 at 43%)
more

Comments (1)

I have changed the suspend time to be the last minute of 2008 in Sydney, Australia.
posted 4 weeks ago

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