Created Thu 3rd Jul 2:28pm PDT by kruijs

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Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 Issue July 19th 08?

Settlement details: As reported here: http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Singles&f=The+Billboard+Hot+100
Or here (which might occur sooner):
http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/index.jsp

THE CHART WEEK

Generally, charts reflect sales and airplay between Monday and Sunday of any given week. However, the mixed data charts (The Billboard Hot 100, Pop 100 and Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs) use an airplay cycle of Wednesday through Tuesday.

Charts are available Thursday on Billboard.com and Billboard.biz and reflect the date of the Billboard issue in which they appear.

The printed magazine first reaches newsstands on Friday. Each issue is dated based on the end of its publication week. Thus the Billboard that reaches newsstands on Friday, Sept. 9, for example, is dated Sept. 17.

Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 Issue July 19th 08?

    1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8)

    5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1)

    11- Rihanna - Disturbia (18,11,2)

    19- Sugarland - All I Want To Do (91,19,2)

    Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned

    Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned

    Any new entry

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Forecast history, %

   Zoom in

Settled

	1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8)	11%
	5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1)	69%
	11- Rihanna - Disturbia (18,11,2)	3%
	19- Sugarland - All I Want To Do (91,19,2)	1%
	Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned	11%
	Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned	3%
	Any new entry	1%

Activity: H$6,470

Settled as 1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8) on Thu 10th Jul 3:10am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 9th Jul 9am PDT Settlement date: Thu 10th Jul 3:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 9th Jul 9am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8): 4%, 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1): 83%, 11- Rihanna - Disturbia (18,11,2): 1%, 19- Sugarland - All I Want To Do (91,19,2): 4%, Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned: 5%, Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned: 2%, Any new entry: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 3rd Jul 2:29pm PDT by kruijs

Suspended Wed 9th Jul 9am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 10th Jul 3:08am PDT by kruijs: Please settle: Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl

http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Singles&f=The+Billboard+Hot+100

Settled as '1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8)' Thu 10th Jul 3:10am PDT by tisha

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Suspend date: Wed 9th Jul 9am PDT Settlement date: Thu 10th Jul 3:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 9th Jul 9am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (62)

62 predictions

20 weeks ago

ewan predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$100 at 69%)

20 weeks ago

gluckman predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$135 at 68%)

20 weeks ago

satish predicted Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned (H$50 at 2%)

20 weeks ago

rogi predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$50 at 67%)

20 weeks ago

bobbyedwards predicted Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned (H$20 at 12%)

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20 weeks ago

ewan predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$100 at 69%)

20 weeks ago

gluckman predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$135 at 68%)

20 weeks ago

satish predicted Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned (H$50 at 2%)

20 weeks ago

rogi predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$50 at 67%)

20 weeks ago

bobbyedwards predicted Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned (H$20 at 12%)

20 weeks ago

metal_monger predicted Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned (H$100 at 14%)

21 weeks ago

amice predicted 1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8) (H$50 at 15%)

21 weeks ago

kruijs predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$300 at 60%)

21 weeks ago

charliewarlie predicted 11- Rihanna - Disturbia (18,11,2) (H$50 at 6%)

21 weeks ago

hoernla predicted 1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8) (H$20 at 21%)

21 weeks ago

kida predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$30 at 53%)

21 weeks ago

allenger predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$100 at 52%)

21 weeks ago

beel predicted 5- Jonas Brothers - Burnin' Up (100,5,1) (H$50 at 51%)

21 weeks ago

questmaster predicted Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned (H$50 at 14%)

21 weeks ago

acpowers predicted 1- Katy Perry - I Kissed A Girl (1,1,8) (H$100 at 22%)

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