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Created Fri 4th Jul 12:49pm PDT by lucidstates
All questions » Entertainment » Movies » 

How much will " The Dark Knight " earn on Friday (July 18th, 2008)?

Settled as $35.1 million or More...

The Dark Knight makes more than 66 million on Friday:
http://the-numbers.com/

Background:

This question asks, How much do you think the newest Batman movie to bust into theaters "The Dark Knight" will earn during it's first Friday in North American theaters? Friday July 18th, 2008, is its expected opening day at theaters, however, after Hancock snuck into theaters 5 hours before it's scheduled release date, anything could happen, either way, this question asks, how much do you think this blockbuster "The Dark Knight" will earn on its expected first day in North American theaters, Friday 18th of July? Only the box office receipts for the 24 hours of Friday will be counted towards the outcome of this question. ... Remember, this film is expected to maybe be one of the biggest films of the entire year and possibly the #1 film for the whole summer. It's expected to open with $84 - $90 million in only it's first 3 days. So a simple dividing of the low end of this spectrum would put Friday most likely in the low $30's.


Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 $25 million or Less...
0%
$25.1 million to $30 million
0%
$30.1 million to $35 million
2%
$35.1 million or More...
98%
Activity: H$78,580
Settled as $35.1 million or More... on Sat 19th Jul 11:27am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 18th Jul 7:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 19th Jul 11:27am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Jul 7:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: $25 million or Less...: 5%, $25.1 million to $30 million: 26%, $30.1 million to $35 million: 40%, $35.1 million or More...: 29%

Action history:

Created Fri 4th Jul 12:49pm PDT by lucidstates
Suspended Fri 18th Jul 7:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 19th Jul 5:58am PDT by fommil: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,385883,00.html

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/7515431.stm

The new Batman film has taken a record $18.5m (£9.2m) from midnight preview screenings ahead of its official opening, said distributor Warner Bros.
Settlement requested Sat 19th Jul 11:23am PDT by destry[Admin]: Please settle. Movie did 66 million plus on Friday.
Settled as '$35.1 million or More...' Sat 19th Jul 11:27am PDT by tisha[Admin]: The Dark Knight makes more than 66 million on Friday:
http://the-numbers.com/

Suspend date: Fri 18th Jul 7:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 19th Jul 11:27am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Jul 7:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (122)

122 predictions

19 weeks ago
brjschmidt predicted $35.1 million or More... (H$77 at 98%)
19 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted $35.1 million or More... (H$10,000 at 92%)
19 weeks ago
geek_rock predicted $35.1 million or More... (H$50 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
de_eb predicted $35.1 million or More... (H$460 at 93%)
19 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted $30.1 million to $35 million (H$50 at 5%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 lucidstates
What? Who was the first person to bet and they picked $25 million or less? Man I am shocked. Have I lost my touch? LOL :-P
posted 21 weeks ago
  2 lucidstates
scott..... Is that you? Did you do that? Lol, man you won't rest will ya, hehehehe, if you picked it, man it has a great payoff, but I don't think it will open under $30... Just my opinion, and look at my ranking, lol, MY WORST category is entertainment, LOL, that is my specialty in market creation, yet I suck at actually making money in it, LOL!!!!!
posted 21 weeks ago
  3 coolkraft
FYI

http://www.reuters.com/article/entertainmentNews/idUSN1740612120080717YI

posted 19 weeks ago
  4 jenniandboys[Admin]
I think the above link is broken.. I found it here: http://www.reuters.com/article/filmNews/idUSN1740612120080717

Suggests we may be overly optimistic.. Time will tell!
posted 19 weeks ago
  5 lucidstates
Well, I bet $100 and it pays $2,300+, so I hope expectations ARE too high, I wanna make some mula :-D
posted 19 weeks ago
  6 lucidstates
Forget it!! I took a bath on this and lost about a grand! Man, The Dark Knight is opening on a whopping 4,366 screens!!! That freakin' HUGE!!! This film is opening on 261 MORE screens then Iron Man opened on, 106 MORE screens then INDIANA JONES 4 opened on and 401 MORE screens then Hancock opened on!!!

I think the $130 - $150 mill for the weekend is totally doable!!!
posted 19 weeks ago
  7 coolkraft
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,385883,00.html

wow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted 19 weeks ago
  8 lucidstates
WOW!!! $66.4 MILLION in one day!!!!!!!!! ALL TIME RECORD!!!!
posted 19 weeks ago

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