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Which of these animated features will have the LOWEST box office during 2008?

Current forecast: The Pirates that Don't Do Anything (70% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is The Pirates that Don't Do Anything with a probability of 70% (unchanged in last 1 day)

We often wager on the best, and this year certainly has some stellar animated features, including WALL-E, but some likely stinkers also.

Market is looking to forecast which of these animated movies in General Release during 2008 will bring in the LEAST money.
 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

The Pirates that Don't Do Anything
70%
Horton Hears a Who
4%
Space Chimps
6%
Fly me to the moon
11%
The Tale of Despereaux
8%
Activity: H$15,392
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: The Pirates that Don't Do Anything: 20%, Horton Hears a Who: 20%, Space Chimps: 20%, Fly me to the moon: 20%, The Tale of Despereaux: 20%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Jul 5:39pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (51)

51 predictions

5 days ago
philphan1 predicted The Pirates that Don't Do Anything (H$20 at 70%)
5 days ago
thelee predicted Fly me to the moon (H$319 at 8%)
1 week ago
xbigdaddyv2 predicted Fly me to the moon (H$50 at 4%)
4 weeks ago
shojun predicted The Pirates that Don't Do Anything (H$100 at 73%)
5 weeks ago
onedave predicted The Pirates that Don't Do Anything (H$500 at 68%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 onedave
How about using this list for settlement: http://www.the-numbers.com/market/movies2008.php
posted 8 weeks ago
@ onedave, that's fine with me, sound good.
posted 8 weeks ago
The Tale of Despereaux doesnt come out till late 2008. Dont know how much of an impact that will have only having 2 weeks to gross money and compete with the other movies.
posted 8 weeks ago

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