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Created Sun 6th Jul 10:28pm PDT by

loren

All questions » Science » Other »

Will the "earthquake panda" cubs survive to eight weeks?

Current forecast: Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks. (99% chance

8%)

A panda who was relocated after China's deadly earthquake damaged her home gave birth to twin cubs on Sunday, July 6, 2008. Baby pandas are notoriously fragile things ... will these little ones survive to be at least eight weeks old?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080706/ap_on_re_as/china_quake_panda_2

Forecast history, %

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Make your prediction!

Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks.

99%

Only one panda cub survives 8 weeks.

1%

Neither panda cub survives 8 weeks.

0%

Activity: H$22,741

Question suspends in 1 day

Settlement details: Question settles based upon the status of the panda cubs at midnight, 8/31/2008. As reported by a major mainstream news source, an official Chinese state news agency, or the official website of the zoo.

Suspend date: this Monday 12:59am PDT (1 day to go)

Initial likelihoods: Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks.: 60%, Only one panda cub survives 8 weeks.: 25%, Neither panda cub survives 8 weeks.: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Jul 10:28pm PDT by

loren

Settlement details: Question settles based upon the status of the panda cubs at midnight, 8/31/2008. As reported by a major mainstream news source, an official Chinese state news agency, or the official website of the zoo.... read all

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Predictions (22)

22 predictions

18 hours ago

rk725 predicted Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks. (H$100 at 91%)

1 week ago

bigken1 predicted Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks. (H$1,000 at 90%)

1 week ago

bigken1 predicted Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks. (H$1,000 at 88%)

2 weeks ago

pepe predicted Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks. (H$100 at 89%)

2 weeks ago

monkeynacho predicted Both panda cubs survive 8 weeks. (H$100 at 88%)

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