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When Will FriendFeed Have More Unique Visitors Than Twitter?
Background: Twitter is currently the daddy of the micro-blogging/social sharing space with 1.7 million monthly unique US visitors in May according to Compete. Growth has been rocketing with the number of uniques rocketing in the past 6 months. However growth has brought problems of frequent downtime.
Frustration with Twitter has led a number of bloggers to look for alternatives. Some bloggers are now claiming that FriendFeed will become the Twitter killer. A great product coupled with fast development cycles and good uptime means have resulted in fast growth with FriendFeed achieving 300,000 uniques within 3 months of launch.
Some tech innovators manage to overcome early scaling problems to go on to build highly successful companies (e.g. eBay). Others, like Friendster, blaze the trail only to see competitors surpass them and take the main prize. Will Twitter become the Friendster of micro-blogging?
(Follow me on Twitter here)
Frustration with Twitter has led a number of bloggers to look for alternatives. Some bloggers are now claiming that FriendFeed will become the Twitter killer. A great product coupled with fast development cycles and good uptime means have resulted in fast growth with FriendFeed achieving 300,000 uniques within 3 months of launch.
Some tech innovators manage to overcome early scaling problems to go on to build highly successful companies (e.g. eBay). Others, like Friendster, blaze the trail only to see competitors surpass them and take the main prize. Will Twitter become the Friendster of micro-blogging?
(Follow me on Twitter here)
Settlement details:As reported by Compete.
Forecast history %
| 2008 |
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| 2009 |
| ||||
| 2010 |
| ||||
| 2011 |
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| 2012+ or never |
|
Question suspends in 2 years
- Activity: H$4,343 |
- Predictions: 37 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: 2008: 1%, 2009: 10%, 2010: 25%, 2011: 15%, 2012+ or never: 49%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 11:59pm PST (2 years to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (37)
amxitsa
predicted 2012+ or never (H$50 at 45%)
predicted 2012+ or never (H$20 at 45%)
neopugg
predicted 2012+ or never (H$10 at 45%)
predicted 2012+ or never (H$100 at 44%)Comments (0)
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score: 10
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24 year, cross-functional IT veteran, he is also an analyst at Ferris Research. You can follow him on Twitter or FriendFeed, pretend to be Richi's friend on Facebook, or just use boring old email: contact Richi
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