Created Mon 7th Jul 3:41am PDT by 
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Craigslist v eBay: When Will Craigslist Triumph?
Current forecast: 2009 (37% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 2009 with a probability of 37% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Andrew Chen notes that eBay's unique visitors has declined by 11.6% in the past year whereas Craigslist has grown by 76%. Projecting out those current trends would mean that Craigslist would pass eBay within a year.
Is eBay a spent force? Sales on-line have increasingly moved to fixed price and eBay has introduced a number of controversial changes which have caused unrest among their sellers. Additionally, Craigslist and eBay are currently locked in a legal battle over eBay's stake in Craigslist.
Is eBay a spent force? Sales on-line have increasingly moved to fixed price and eBay has introduced a number of controversial changes which have caused unrest among their sellers. Additionally, Craigslist and eBay are currently locked in a legal battle over eBay's stake in Craigslist.
Settlement details:
As reported by Compete for People Count. (Compete records US visitors only).
Make your prediction!
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2008 |
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2009 |
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2011+ or never |
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Activity: H$1,659
Question suspends in 2 years
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: 2008: 1%, 2009: 39%, 2010: 30%, 2011+ or never: 30%
Action history:
Created Mon 7th Jul 3:41am PDT by nigeleccles
nigeleccles
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (25)
25 predictions
lewisshepherd
andrew
robuk
ryanj
jarrod
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted 2008 (H$100 at 2%)
jedc
biloxibeachboy
anaverageamerican
warrickt
infernalmachine
valornhonorComments (0)
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score: 10
Forbes.com 2 days ago
saw a buzz of shopping activity, as consumers took to their computers to snap up hot holiday gifts. eBay Inc. (Nasdaq:EBAY) companies, including PayPal and Shopping.com, all saw consumers going online for great deals. The companies reported key online
score: 10
Globe Investor 1 week ago
for literate folk. A few new websites have sprung up to take advantage of the spelling mistakes on eBay. It seems many eBay posters can't spell what they're selling, or they make careless typing mistakes. So shoppers cruising the site with search words
score: 10
Information Week 1 week ago
malicious code is embedded,' says Judge. Purewire collects data on user profiles available from sources such as Facebook, eBay, Craigslist, and blogs. Classification algorithms look for suspicious behavior, such as the same e-mail address used for 1,000
score: 10
Electronic Commerce Guide 1 week ago
You are in: ECommerce-Guide Essentials eBay ECommerce-Guide Essentials Everything you need to know to start your own successful e-business. How to make money in the online marketplace. What's new in secure payments for your online
score: 10
Canada.com 1 week ago
study conducted on Canada's grey market was made public in 1999 before online retailing exploded. According to eBay Canada Ltd., more than 32,000 Canadians make all or a significant portion of their earnings by selling goods and services on the online
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