Which coalition will rule Austria after the new elections?

Suspend date: last Sunday 1:59pm PST Settlement date: last Wednesday 9:03pm PST

Initial likelihoods: ÖVP wins absolute majority or forms minority gov.: 10%, SPÖ wins absolute majority or forms minority gov.: 10%, Grand Coalition led by SPÖ (again): 20%, Grand Coalition led by ÖVP: 20%, Right-wing coalition ÖVP/FPÖ and/or BZÖ: 15%, Red-green coalition SPÖ/Green Party: 20%, other combination: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 7th Jul 5:09am PDT by hoernla

Suspended Sat 27th Sep 2:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Changed Description Sat 11th Oct 8:03am PDT by infernalmachine: show details

... After the ÖÖVP left the grand coalition, ... parties will rule Austria afterwards?<br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Note:</b> Oct 11th. The SPO has been given the mandate to try to form the next government, but it is far from clear how this will work out. So the question is re-opened until such time as a ruling coalition is announced. http://www.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4082&Alias=wzo&cob=376498&currentpage=0

Changed Suspend date Sat 11th Oct 8:03am PDT by infernalmachine: was: "2008-09-27 13:59:00"

Changed Description Sat 11th Oct 8:04am PDT by infernalmachine: show details

... After the ÖÖVP left the grand coalition, ... a ruling coalition is announced. . <a href="http://www.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4082&amp;Alias=wzo&amp;cob=376498&amp;currentpage=0">http://www.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4082&amp;Alias=wzo&amp;cob=376498&amp;currentpage=0</a>

Unsuspended Sat 11th Oct 8:05am PDT by infernalmachine: See Category Editor Note in background.

Changed Description Sat 11th Oct 8:06am PDT by infernalmachine: show details

... After the ÖVPOVP left the grand coalition, Bundeskanzler

Changed Description Fri 14th Nov 12:38am PST by infernalmachine: show details

... at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4082&amp;Alias=wzo&amp;cob=376498&amp;currentpage=0">http://www.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4082&amp;Alias=wzo&amp;cob=376498&amp;currentpage=0</a>

Changed Suspend date Fri 14th Nov 12:38am PST by infernalmachine: was: "2008-11-15 13:59:00"

Settlement requested Sun 23rd Nov 1:52pm PST by matthelm: It's official:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601085&sid=a4eKcPwuduQU&refer=europe

or:

http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/11/23/europe/EU-Austria-New-Government.php

Suspended Sun 23rd Nov 5:05pm PST by infernalmachine: settlement pending

Settled as 'Grand Coalition led by SPÖ (again)' last Wednesday 9:03pm PST by infernalmachine: Grand Coalition led by SPO
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3815334,00.html

Suspend date: last Sunday 1:59pm PST Settlement date: last Wednesday 9:03pm PST
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