Created Mon 7th Jul 10:39am PDT by

All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 »

What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?

Settled as Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points

Things have been relatively stable the past week or so. Will anything shake it up or are we on cruise control until the convention?

Note: Gallup polls are the result of a 3 day rolling average so the poll released on Monday will be based on surveys taken Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Obama leads by 9 points or more

Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points

Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points

79%

Statistical Tie +/- 2 points

11%

McCain leads by 3,4 or 5 points

McCain leads by 6,7 or 8 points

McCain leads by 9 points or more

Activity: H$34,225

Settled as Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points on Mon 14th Jul 11am PDT

Settlement details: http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx

posted near 1300 on Monday July 14.

If no poll is posted that day for some reason, will be the next released gallup daily poll.

Suspend date: Mon 14th Jul 9:30am PDT

Settlement date: Mon 14th Jul 11am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 14th Jul 9:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama leads by 9 points or more: 5%, Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points: 20%, Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points: 35%, Statistical Tie +/- 2 points: 25%, McCain leads by 3,4 or 5 points: 5%, McCain leads by 6,7 or 8 points: 5%, McCain leads by 9 points or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 7th Jul 10:39am PDT by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Suspended Mon 14th Jul 9:30am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 14th Jul 10:42am PDT by

newswrangler [Power User]

: show details

Winning prediction = "Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points"

Obama 46: McCain 43

<http://www.gallup.com/poll/108814/Gallup-Daily-Presidential-Race-Remains-Steady.aspx>

Settlement requested Mon 14th Jul 10:50am PDT by

dan121377: show details

http://www.gallup.com/poll/108814/Gallup-Daily-Presidential-Race-Remains-Steady.aspx

Settled as 'Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points' Mon 14th Jul 11am PDT by

tisha

read less

Settlement details: http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx ... read all

Predictions (158)

158 predictions

12 weeks ago

dan121377 predicted Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points (H$3,000 at 71%)

12 weeks ago

rooooo predicted Statistical Tie +/- 2 points (H$100 at 20%)

12 weeks ago

turland predicted Statistical Tie +/- 2 points (H$25 at 17%)

12 weeks ago

rhoan74 predicted Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points (H$108 at 11%)

12 weeks ago

satish predicted Obama leads by at least 3, 4 or 5 points (H$50 at 67%)

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more

Related News

This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags

score: 10

Gallup Daily: Obama Maintains Advantage .

Gallup Organization 12 weeks ago

Leads McCain 47% to 43% in latest update PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update finds Barack Obama continuing to hold a modest advantage over John McCain, 47% to 43%. The current figures, based on July 9-11 polling, exactly match

score: 10

Obama widens lead over McCain .

CHINAdaily 12 weeks ago

enter 'summer doldrums,' McCain was facing the burden to 'shake things up.' The poll combined three polls from Gallup, CNN/Opinion Research and LA Times/Bloomberg. The last poll of polls released last week showed Obama had six percentages more than

score: 10

A latest poll released by CNN on Friday showed that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama had widened his lead over his

Xinhua News Agency 12 weeks ago

score: 10

Latest poll shows Obama's widened lead over McCain .

Xinhua News Agency 12 weeks ago

score: 10

Gallup Daily: Preferences Unchanged in Latest Update .

Gallup Organization 12 weeks ago

Obama maintains 2-point advantage over McCain PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update finds Barack Obama continuing to hold a slight advantage over John McCain in the presidential election trial heat, 46% to 44%. These results are