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Who Will Win The Glasgow East By Election?

Settled as SNP

Shock win for SNP:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/glasgow_and_west/7522153.stm

Background:

Gordon Brown faces a crucial by-election on July 24th in Glasgow East. Lose it and there is no coming back for the Prime Minister say some commentators.

Labour are still slim favourites with the bookmakers to retain the seat. However, with the credit crunch biting and recession looming prospects can only get worse for Labour.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Labour
76%
SNP
24%
Other
0%
Activity: H$13,730
Settled as SNP on Fri 25th Jul 12:57am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 23rd Jul 3:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Fri 25th Jul 12:57am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 23rd Jul 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Labour: 52%, SNP: 47%, Other: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 7th Jul 2:50pm PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]
Suspended Wed 23rd Jul 3:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 25th Jul 12:26am PDT by danhanley: SNP wins!
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/glasgow_and_west/7522153.stm
Settled as 'SNP' Fri 25th Jul 12:57am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: Shock win for SNP:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/glasgow_and_west/7522153.stm
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (53)

53 predictions

6 weeks ago
asdfffda predicted SNP (H$100 at 23%)
6 weeks ago
scoopboy[Admin] predicted SNP (H$200 at 21%)
6 weeks ago
johnforegate predicted SNP (H$100 at 19%)
6 weeks ago
cakie174 predicted SNP (H$100 at 17%)
6 weeks ago
erichiggs predicted Labour (H$20 at 84%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 1derkind
Doesn't look good for Labour.. cld be a slippery slope
posted 6 weeks ago

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