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How many medals will Dara Torres win at the Beijing Olympics?

Settled as Dara wins three medals

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/BIO/Athlete/9/222009.shtml

3 silver

Background:

OK...this is really amazing...a 41 year old mother of a young child competing in the Olympics...in SWIMMING, one of the most physically challenging of the sports. And she should have a chance to win some medals! AGAIN!

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http://www.newsweek.com/id/144947

So how many will she win? Doesn't matter for this question whether they're gold, silver, or bronze. Doesn't matter for this question whether it's an individual or relay team medal. Just how many will she take home?

Question will suspend on August 10, the first day of swimming competitions...not sure if any of hers will be completed by then. Jist want to leave it open as the interest builds for the Olympic Games.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Dara wins no medals
0%
Dara wins one medal
0%
Dara wins two medals
1%
Dara wins three medals
98%
Dara wins more than three medals
0%
Activity: H$33,705
Settled as Dara wins three medals on Sat 16th Aug 8:25pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 20th Aug 11:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Sat 16th Aug 8:25pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 16th Aug 7:45pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Dara wins no medals: 10%, Dara wins one medal: 20%, Dara wins two medals: 35%, Dara wins three medals: 20%, Dara wins more than three medals: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 8th Jul 4:33am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Sun 10th Aug 11:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Mon 11th Aug 9:34am PDT by tisha[Admin]: Suspend date moved to end of swimming finals
Suspended Sat 16th Aug 7:46pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Final race for Torres is about to start...relay race 4 X 100 medley relay
Settlement requested Sat 16th Aug 7:51pm PDT by jake: Settle as three medals.
Settled as 'Dara wins three medals' Sat 16th Aug 8:25pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/BIO/Athlete/9/222009.shtml

3 silver
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (74)

74 predictions

2 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Dara wins two medals (H$50 at 1%)
2 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Dara wins three medals (H$5,000 at 97%)
2 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Dara wins three medals (H$5,000 at 93%)
2 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Dara wins three medals (H$100 at 88%)
2 weeks ago
pawnmowerman predicted Dara wins two medals (H$100 at 57%)
more

Comments (13)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
JUST A SUGGESTION...
With the Olympics coming up, wouldn't it be good to have a category for the Olympics under the Sports heading?

Whatcha think?
posted 8 weeks ago
YES! Donal??
posted 8 weeks ago
  3 cognos[Power User]
I'd really like an Olympics category too!
posted 8 weeks ago
I'll "Fourth" that motion.
posted 8 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
Dara Torres' Swim Coach Seriously Ill

Jul 25, 9:33 AM (ET)

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. (AP) -Dara Torres' swim coach is traveling to the National Institutes of Health instead of training camp in Singapore after being diagnosed with a rare, potentially fatal blood disorder.

Michael Lohberg says he's suffering from aplastic anemia. He told The Miami Herald late Thursday that "it's really, really bad," and that doctors have told him he might only have days to live.

The disorder causes bone marrow to stop producing enough new blood cells. Treatment can include blood transfusions or a bone marrow transplant.

The 58-year-old coach planned to take a friend's private plane to the NIH in Maryland early Friday.

Torres and seven other Olympic swimmers from five other countries train under Lohberg in South Florida.

posted 6 weeks ago
  6 bayoubear[Admin]
Thanks for the update Destry...saw the article this morning

Also, she may only be competing in 2 or 3 events at the most...even though she qualified for 5, including relays, I think I saw that she wasn't going to compete in all 5...so everyone might take that into consideration when making selections....
posted 6 weeks ago
I like the question about Dara Torres, because it is such a great story. However, I think the options should have been worded better by leaving the ONLY out, as it is already a huge accomplishment that she is even competing in the Olympics.
posted 5 weeks ago
  8 destry[Admin]
@lovethenews - great observation. I removed the words only, seeing how they did nothing but seem to make her accomplishments that much less significant.
posted 5 weeks ago
I think the 'only' was in there because some people have pointed out that without such questions could be deemed to be not mutually exclusive. If she won 5, she also one 1,2,3, and 4 medals. I strongly doubt bb was in anyway impinging on this woman's great accomplishment, just trying to create an airtight market.
posted 5 weeks ago
  10 bayoubear[Admin]
Thanks Jen...that was what I was trying to do...we'd had problems in the past (though I think we're beyond that now) but putting 'only' in my options had become habit...

BTW, in watching her last night, if her teammates had been as good as her, USA would have had gold instead of silver...She's got a really good shot at 3 medals...
posted 3 weeks ago
Is she anchoring the 400m IM? Since she pulled out of the 100m, I wasn't sure how many more events she had. I agree she was pretty good though. Really would have been nice if our middle two were as strong as the first and last!
posted 3 weeks ago
  12 bayoubear[Admin]
OK...now I'm really unsure about what she's entering...maybe not three events afterall...just two...check it out and make your choices according to what you find out!
posted 3 weeks ago
  13 bayoubear[Admin]
Looks like it will be just 2 medals at most...she only has one more event to compete in....


"Her remaining event is her best, the 50-meter freestyle coming later this week."

http://www.hispanicbusiness.com/news/2008/8/11/dara_torres_leads_us_to_silver.htm
posted 3 weeks ago

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