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When Will the Mega Millions Lottery Jackpot Exceed $250MM Next?

Current forecast: No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008 (76% chance2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008 with a probability of 76% (down 2% in last 1 day)

Multi-State lottery jackpots occasionally grow beyond $250MM, will this happen again this year in the Mega Millions game, and if so, when?


Settlement details: As reported by a the Mega Millions website: http://www.megamillions.com/

 
Forecast history, %
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Before August 1
2%
August 1 through August 31
4%
September 1 through September 30
4%
October 1 through October 31
4%
November 1 through November 30
5%
December 1 through December 31
5%
No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008
76%
Activity: H$6,164
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Mon 1st Dec 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before August 1: 5%, August 1 through August 31: 10%, September 1 through September 30: 10%, October 1 through October 31: 10%, November 1 through November 30: 10%, December 1 through December 31: 10%, No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008: 45%

Action history:

Created Tue 8th Jul 11:16am PDT by katana1021

Suspend date: Mon 1st Dec 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (25)

25 predictions

3 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008 (H$131 at 64%)
3 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted December 1 through December 31 (H$100 at 8%)
3 weeks ago
mark743 predicted No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008 (H$100 at 63%)
5 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008 (H$250 at 53%)
5 weeks ago
youbet predicted No $250MM+ Jackpot in 2008 (H$100 at 51%)
more

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