Created Wed 9th Jul 9:22am PDT by 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
All questions » Technology » Internet » nigeleccles 
When Will Google Have Its First Crisis?
Current forecast: 2012+ (48% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 2012+ with a probability of 48% (down 1% in last 1 day)
The rise and rise of Google over the past 10 years has been breathtaking. From its early days of being just a really good search (remember when that was 'just another feature'?) to the technology and media behemoth it is today, the company has confounded skepticism that it could keeping growing.
Today, its core ad words product shows no signs of slowing. However, threats do exist, not least from Microsoft swallowing Yahoo or from Google's management losing touch with its own employees and customers.
Many of today's most successful companies like Apple, News Corp or Intel went through crises but then emerged stronger. The question is when is Google's or is it immortal?
Today, its core ad words product shows no signs of slowing. However, threats do exist, not least from Microsoft swallowing Yahoo or from Google's management losing touch with its own employees and customers.
Many of today's most successful companies like Apple, News Corp or Intel went through crises but then emerged stronger. The question is when is Google's or is it immortal?
Settlement details:
A crisis will be defined as the stock halving from its previous lifetime high (currently $747) AND either the WSJ or the NYT describing the company or management in "crisis" or words to that effect.
Make your prediction!
|
|
2008 |
|
|||
|
|
2009 |
|
|||
|
|
2010 |
|
|||
|
|
2011 |
|
|||
|
|
2012+ |
|
Activity: H$2,468
Question suspends in 3 years
Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: 2008: 1%, 2009: 10%, 2010: 20%, 2011: 20%, 2012+: 49%
Action history:
Created Wed 9th Jul 9:22am PDT by nigeleccles
nigeleccles
Suspend date: Sat 31st Dec 2011 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (26)
26 predictions
aleksejenko
oppugner
neuronexmachina
gabrielwest
anaverageamerican
biloxibeachboy
andrew
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted 2009 (H$100 at 10%)
robuk
infernalmachine
punditpete
warricktComments (1)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Morningstar.com 3 days ago
The last several months have been defined by falling stock prices, a credit crisis, and overall economic weakness. However, we thought it would be an opportune time to highlight a company that we feel is poised to emerge from the rubble better positioned
score: 10
Advertising Age 1 week ago
M chief executive Rob Norman. It's also one of the toughest: succeeding Jerry Yang as CEO of Yahoo. Yet there is no shortage of boldface media names -- including News Corp.'s Peter Chernin, former Viacom chief Tom Freston and Google's Tim Armstrong --
score: 10
Business Day 1 week ago
$20bn since Yang took over as CEO last year as discussions with Microsoft failed, an advertising partnership with Google collapsed, and talks with Time Warners AOL stalled. Goldman Sachs Group said the resignation may fuel speculation of renewed talks
score: 10
Business Report 1 week ago
since Yang took over as chief executive last year as talks with Microsoft failed, an advert partnership with Google collapsed and talks with Time Warner's AOL stalled. 'The strategic necessity here is for this company to merge with Microsoft,' said Larry
score: 10
US News 1 week ago
learn from the return of Yang, who cofounded Yahoo in 1994, and how he fumbled a deal with Google while trying to parry a takeover offer from Microsoft. 1) Founders flounder. We can think of many cases where a tech founder returns as the savior CEO, only
New in Technology » Internet
More questions by
nigeleccles
84% of previous questions settled successfully
70 settled, 13 voided
More...
70 settled, 13 voided
Please log in or join to add a comment