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Who will win Minnesota in the 2008 Presidential Election?

Settled as Obama

Minnesota delivered for Obama in the primary season. He drove in 66% of the vote while Hillary only received 32%. Now as the general election heats up, polls are showing Obama with a smaller but still substantial lead over John McCain.


Minnesota has 10 electoral votes up for grabs, and although it isn't a substantial amount of electoral votes, to get to 270 Obama will need it.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Obama
96%
McCain
4%
Activity: H$51,625
Settled as Obama on Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama: 70%, McCain: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 9th Jul 2:53pm PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:22am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 4th Nov 3:11pm PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-04 14:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 4th Nov 3:12pm PST by destry[Admin]: Unsuspended until polls close
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:56pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (147)

147 predictions

3 weeks ago
binder predicted Obama (H$50 at 96%)
3 weeks ago
davecade predicted Obama (H$27 at 96%)
4 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted Obama (H$10,000 at 96%)
4 weeks ago
atrane predicted Obama (H$100 at 89%)
4 weeks ago
jimmsolo predicted McCain (H$98 at 10%)
more

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