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Who will win Minnesota in the 2008 Presidential Election?

Settled as Obama

Background: Minnesota delivered for Obama in the primary season. He drove in 66% of the vote while Hillary only received 32%. Now as the general election heats up, polls are showing Obama with a smaller but still substantial lead over John McCain.


Minnesota has 10 electoral votes up for grabs, and although it isn't a substantial amount of electoral votes, to get to 270 Obama will need it.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Obama
96%
McCain
4%
Settled as Obama on Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:56pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 6pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:56pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama: 70%, McCain: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 9th Jul 2008 1:53pm PST by punditwatch[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 2008 8:22am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 4th Nov 2008 3:11pm PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-04 14:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 3:12pm PST by destry[Admin]: Unsuspended until polls close
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 6pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:56pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 6pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:56pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (147)

1 year ago
binder predicted Obama (H$50 at 96%)
1 year ago
davecade predicted Obama (H$27 at 96%)
1 year ago
destry[Admin] predicted Obama (H$10,000 at 96%)
1 year ago
atrane predicted Obama (H$100 at 89%)
1 year ago
jimmsolo predicted McCain (H$98 at 10%)

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