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Will Merrill Lynch file for bankruptcy in the next year?

Current forecast: 21% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 21% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
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Yes
21%
No
79%
Activity: H$3,600
Question suspends in 46 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 11th Jul 2009 12:59am PDT (46 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 9th Jul 3:06pm PDT by hallo
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

1 week ago
nigeleccles[Admin] predicted No (H$2,000 at 78%)
1 week ago
davem predicted Yes (H$980 at 21%)
1 week ago
davem predicted Yes (H$20 at 19%)
5 weeks ago
pepe predicted No (H$200 at 80%)
5 weeks ago
matt predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
more

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