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Created Wed 9th Jul 4:27pm PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win Louisiana in the 2008 Presidential Election?

Settled as McCain

To win the election most experts contend McCain must run far, far away from President Bush. Louisiana doesn't make it easy though. The mismanagement of New Orleans during Katrina by Bush and much of the federal government goes to weariness of GOP control.


At first some commentators saw Louisiana as a possible pick up for Obama, but Obama as of yet hasn't been able to mobilize the black vote to such large numbers to turn the state into a battleground.



Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 McCain
93%
Obama
7%
Activity: H$43,758
Settled as McCain on Tue 4th Nov 9:58pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:58pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 75%, Obama: 25%

Action history:

Created Wed 9th Jul 4:27pm PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:20am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 15:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 9:55pm PST by destry[Admin]
Previous action withdrawn Tue 4th Nov 9:57pm PST by destry[Admin]
Settled as 'McCain' Tue 4th Nov 9:58pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:58pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (103)

103 predictions

4 weeks ago
bookie predicted Obama (H$33 at 7%)
4 weeks ago
gianmy predicted McCain (H$20 at 93%)
4 weeks ago
eliminati predicted McCain (H$100 at 84%)
4 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Obama (H$50 at 15%)
4 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Obama (H$100 at 17%)
more

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