Created Wed 9th Jul 2008 3:27pm PST by

Who will win Louisiana in the 2008 Presidential Election?

Settled as McCain

Background: To win the election most experts contend McCain must run far, far away from President Bush. Louisiana doesn't make it easy though. The mismanagement of New Orleans during Katrina by Bush and much of the federal government goes to weariness of GOP control.

At first some commentators saw Louisiana as a possible pick up for Obama, but Obama as of yet hasn't been able to mobilize the black vote to such large numbers to turn the state into a battleground.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

McCain

93%

Obama

Settled as McCain on Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:58pm PST

Activity: H$43,758
Predictions: 103
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 2:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:58pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2008 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 75%, Obama: 25%

Action history:

Created Wed 9th Jul 2008 3:27pm PST by

punditwatch [Admin]

Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 2008 8:20am PST by

destry [Admin]

: was: "2008-11-03 15:59:00"

Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2008 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:55pm PST by

destry [Admin]

Previous action withdrawn Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:57pm PST by

destry [Admin]

Settled as 'McCain' Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:58pm PST by

destry [Admin]

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Predictions (103)

1 year ago

bookie Level 13, Psychic (H$88,284)

predicted Obama (H$33 at 7%)

1 year ago

gianmy Level 1, Newbie (H$980)

predicted McCain (H$20 at 93%)

1 year ago

eliminati Level 16, Oracle (H$514,339)

predicted McCain (H$100 at 84%)

1 year ago

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$164,084)

predicted Obama (H$50 at 15%)

1 year ago

theonecalledmichael Level 15, Seer (H$322,180)

predicted Obama (H$100 at 17%)

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