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Who will win Oklahoma in the 2008 Presidential Election?

Settled as McCain

There's a good reason to start off with 85% odds of Oklahoma staying red in this election. What is that reason? Well maybe it's that "The state voted Democratic in all but two elections through 1948, but has not gone Democratic since, except in the landslide win for Lyndon Johnson in 1964."


The state has 7 electoral votes, so a better question may be, will Obama have any personal appearances in the state...?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

McCain
95%
Obama
5%
Activity: H$14,434
Settled as McCain on Tue 4th Nov 10:06pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:06pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 85%, Obama: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 9th Jul 9:39pm PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'McCain' Tue 4th Nov 10:06pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:06pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

4 weeks ago
emmittsdaman predicted McCain (H$100 at 95%)
4 weeks ago
ksleher predicted Obama (H$20 at 5%)
4 weeks ago
gianmy predicted McCain (H$20 at 95%)
4 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Obama (H$50 at 4%)
4 weeks ago
sosakan predicted McCain (H$20 at 96%)
more

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