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What Will Google Launch Next?

Settled as Other

Google Chrome launched (it's a browser, so Other wins)

Background:

Google's launch of each of the categories marked by its downstream click data. Before Lively, Hitwise predicted Google's move into the health category.

So what's next for Google? Well ReadWriteWeb (which is probably the most insightful tech blog on the web) are predicting a push into Travel. Mashable are opting for an ask the audience.

At Hubdub, we still think there is a chance it could be the fabled Google Toaster!


Settlement details: Settled as the Google's next product release which is similar in scale to Lively or greater. To be a product it must be a named product rather than a feature on an existing product. If Google don't release any products this year then the suspend date will be extended.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Travel
17%
Music
13%
Search
5%
Entertainment
5%
Shopping
5%
Lifestyle
4%
News
5%
Auto
9%
Toaster
1%
Other
37%
Activity: H$14,561
Settled as Other on Thu 4th Sep 3:52am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Thu 4th Sep 3:52am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Sep 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Travel: 10%, Music: 10%, Search: 10%, Entertainment: 10%, Shopping: 10%, Lifestyle: 10%, News: 10%, Auto: 10%, Toaster: 1%, Other: 19%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jul 2:12am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]
Suspended Wed 23rd Jul 11:30am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Wed 23rd Jul 11:30am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspending pending review of settlement.

Google launches Knol (although its been around in beta for a while in the labs)

Does this count: http://www.wired.com/software/coolapps/news/2008/07/google_knol (market suspended)
Unsuspended Wed 23rd Jul 11:51am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: Knol has been known about for some time so it doesn't count. I probably should have been more specific in saying that it needs to be new unnamed products.
Suspended Tue 2nd Sep 1:09am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: Launch of Google Chrome today
Settlement requested Wed 3rd Sep 12:54pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: I think this needs to be "settled" as "Search" -- not just suspended ;-)
Settled as 'Other' Thu 4th Sep 3:52am PDT by tomg[Admin]: Google Chrome launched (it's a browser, so Other wins)

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Thu 4th Sep 3:52am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Sep 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (89)

89 predictions

13 weeks ago
lewisdotcom predicted Toaster (H$1 at 1%)
13 weeks ago
debonaire3 predicted Shopping (H$20 at 5%)
13 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Other (H$1,000 at 29%)
15 weeks ago
pryd predicted Other (H$100 at 22%)
16 weeks ago
prentiss5757 predicted Music (H$100 at 15%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
errr, search? Google will become a search engine? I always use Yahoo! to search the web. Why should Google want to provide a search engine? They should do what they've been doing so successfully traditionally: Sell toasters.
posted 20 weeks ago
  2 tomg[Admin]
Haha - do people really think Google would go into music? I'd love to see them do audio search - imagine being able to search podcasts for key words / phrases...
posted 20 weeks ago
The "each of the categories marked by its downstream click data." link appears to be broken.
I was trying to figure out the "search" thing, too??
posted 19 weeks ago

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