Created Thu 10th Jul 2008 12:03pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Crocker vs Phelps: Who will win Gold in the 100m Fly?

Settled as Phelps

http://www.canada.com/topics/sports/story.html?id=b986ea6d-3ebd-4cca-a920-8b658a765f4c

Background:

Background: In Michael Phelps' quest for eight gold medals, there is one event where his dominance has been challenged, consistently and convincingly, by U.S. teammate Ian Crocker. Of the five individual events Phelps must win, the 100m butterfly is the only one where he doesn't own the world record.

"I think Michael and I, we have a rivalry but it's very healthy," Crocker said.

To call it a rivalry doesn't quite describe the dynamic behind the race, or the competitors. Both Phelps and Crocker are quick to tell you they hate to lose -- and they've each felt the disappointment of losing, in front of the world, by hundredths of a second.

Source:
http://www.nbcolympics.com/swimming/news/newsid=105694.html#phelps+face+familiar+race+with+crocker

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Phelps

88%

Crocker

Someone Else

Settled as Phelps on Fri 15th Aug 2008 6:22pm PST

Activity: H$27,280
Predictions: 87
Comments: 8

Suspend date: Sat 16th Aug 2008 5am PST
Settlement date: Fri 15th Aug 2008 6:22pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th Aug 2008 4:10pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Phelps: 45%, Crocker: 45%, Someone Else: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jul 2008 12:03pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Settlement requested Fri 15th Aug 2008 6:11pm PST by

guibraguim Level 12, Guru (H$28,598)

: Phelps won.

Suspended Fri 15th Aug 2008 6:18pm PST by

newswrangler [Power User]

: Flagged by super user: Manually suspended.

Pending settlement link, and voiding of predictions made before event began.

Settled as 'Phelps' Fri 15th Aug 2008 6:22pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: http://www.canada.com/topics/sports/story.html?id=b986ea6d-3ebd-4cca-a920-8b658a765f4c

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Predictions (87)

1 year ago

guibraguim Level 12, Guru (H$28,598)

predicted Someone Else (H$130 at 4%)

1 year ago

guibraguim Level 12, Guru (H$28,598)

predicted Crocker (H$100 at 9%)

1 year ago

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$101,793)

predicted Crocker (H$50 at 17%)

1 year ago

gingerboi Level 14, Prophet (H$127,212)

predicted Crocker (H$350 at 15%)

1 year ago

bobyn42 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,073)

predicted Phelps (H$1,000 at 80%)

Comments (8)

tomg

do either of these guys wear those sleek new suits?

posted 1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

Both do -- team USA has been in negotiations with alll the other swimming manufacturers to make sure that ALL of the Americans are wearing LZRs for the Olympics. There are a couple of high profile cases of the manufacturers not neccessarily going along, but they're all wearing them (TYR and Vendt). I'm pretty sure Australia is as well. (At least all the big players)

posted 1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

Here's a link for the TYR/Vendt story:http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D91R74600.htm

posted 1 year ago

guibraguim Level 12, Guru (H$28,598)

All predictions should be voided. Michael Phelps already won and market is opened. 10:11pm

posted 1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

Actually there weren't any predictions made after the race. Newswrangler is awesome :)

posted 1 year ago