Created Thu 10th Jul 1:50pm PDT by

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Will the House issue a contempt citation for Karl Rove's non-appearance?

Settled as No

Full house vote not expected til September. Question asks if it will occur by July 31st. Therefore market is being settled as NO.

Background:

Karl Rove was subpoenaed in May to get him to talk about whether he exerted pressure on prosecutors' decisions regarding Democratic officeholders -- most notably former Alabama Gov. Don Siegelman -- or in firing prosecutors whose political loyalty to the Bush administration was being questioned.

The table was set...a placard with his name was in place...all that was missing was the mastermind of the Bush elections.

So what's the next move? Could be a decision on whether he should be cited for contempt. That decision will be made by the full Judiciary Committee and, ultimately, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

What will they do? Anything?

A yes vote indicates that a contempt citation is issued by July 31.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Yes

96%

Activity: H$75,329

Settled as No on Thu 31st Jul 9:17pm PDT

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Thu 31st Jul 9:17pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jul 1:50pm PDT by

bayoubear [Admin]

Settlement requested Thu 31st Jul 9:02pm PDT by

dieseldog: it's august 1st no contempt citation for mr rove. please settle as no.

Settled as 'No' Thu 31st Jul 9:17pm PDT by

destry [Admin]

: show details

Full house vote not expected til September. Question asks if it will occur by July 31st. Therefore market is being settled as NO.

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Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

Predictions (68)

68 predictions

10 weeks ago

rbrog77 predicted No (H$9,411 at 94%)

10 weeks ago

rbrog77 predicted No (H$9,411 at 94%)

10 weeks ago

rbrog77 predicted No (H$3,000 at 93%)

10 weeks ago

conservatives_suck predicted Yes (H$50 at 7%)

10 weeks ago

elly predicted No (H$10,000 at 91%)

Comments (11)

bayoubear [Admin]

Wow...so far a $H1 wager

Latest news is that there won't be an opportunity for a committee vote until later in July...how does that influence things?

posted 13 weeks ago

biloxibeachboy

Based on the wording of the question I didn't realize that the cut off was in July I thought it was open until decided.

posted 13 weeks ago

dieseldog

@all HD'S...every site you see (liberal or consertative) say rove was subpoenaed. NONE of them (that i've seen) have a copy of the subponea for people to read. things that make ya say...hmmmm

posted 13 weeks ago

Erik

Dieseldog> These are my thoughts...certainly not facts. The term subpoena is being used loosley. Simply meaning that Rove was called to testify. There is no document involved. That, I believe, could only be issued by the judiciary, reletive to "courtroom" functions. So....I don't think you'll ever see a ciation, per se. Assuming that citation means a document.

posted 13 weeks ago

dieseldog

@erik...i agree there prolly ain't no document to read. both rep's and dem's use it for polictical points. i can't say for sure, but i think congress has the power-authority to issue subponea's. they even have a jail on capitol hill. its been a long time since they used it. have a nice day.

posted 13 weeks ago

Erik

WASHINGTON - The House Judiciary Committee has voted to hold former White House strategist Karl Rove in contempt of Congress for ignoring a subpoena to testify...The committee decision is only a recommendation, and it was unclear whether Speaker Nancy Pelosi would allow a final vote.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080730/ap_on_go_co/rove_contempt_1

Certainly won't happen by tomorrow.........

posted 11 weeks ago

coolkraft

September.....

posted 10 weeks ago

dieseldog

i agree with eric. the 99% rule would aplly to this question and a few others. waiting a day or 2 won't hurt, but if an admin is bored they could settle this and the stimulas package question. have a nice day.

posted 10 weeks ago

destry [Admin]

This question is asking if the House will issue the contempt citation, not just the House Judiciary Committee. I would say we hold off until we get word from the House.

posted 10 weeks ago

dieseldog

@destry..the key here is by the 31st. i have no problem waiting. imho its 99.99999% that the house won't act on this on the 31st. why you up so late? old guys like you should be in bed by now :O)

posted 10 weeks ago

destry [Admin]

Thanks I typically get my 4 hours of sleep between 3:30 and 7:30. Have to squeeze my days full. Since there is a short time span left I think waiting an extra day is fine.

posted 10 weeks ago

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