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What will be the name of the first tropical storm/hurricane after Labor Day?

Settled as Josephine

Ike formed on Labor Day, so Josephine will be the next named TS/Hurricane

Background:

We're nearly six weeks into the 2008 hurricane season, and so far there's only been two, Arthur (which shouldn't have counted IMHO, since it started in the Pacific) and Bertha. So how active will the next few weeks be. In 2005 we had Katrina by August 29. I know, I live in Gulfport, MS and stayed at home during it.

Will we get that far this year? What will be the first named storm following Labor Day, Sept 1. The storm must not be named prior to Labor Day...if there is a named storm on LD it won't count. It would be the next one.

Closing this one on 8/29, just to allow a few days to see what develops.

Does not have to hit anything, just be named. Must be Atlantic Basin, which includes the Caribbean and the Gulf.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Fay
0%
Gustav
1%
Hanna
3%
Ike
56%
Josephine
19%
Kyle
17%
Laura
3%
Either Christobal or Dolly
0%
Nana, Omar, Paloma
1%
Any other name
1%
Activity: H$22,611
Settled as Josephine on Tue 2nd Sep 5:13am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 5:13am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Fay: 6%, Gustav: 10%, Hanna: 14%, Ike: 14%, Josephine: 15%, Kyle: 13%, Laura: 9%, Either Christobal or Dolly: 5%, Nana, Omar, Paloma: 9%, Any other name: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jul 7:25pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Josephine' Tue 2nd Sep 5:13am PDT by tisha[Admin]: Ike formed on Labor Day, so Josephine will be the next named TS/Hurricane

Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 5:13am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (125)

125 predictions

13 weeks ago
alison78 predicted Ike (H$20 at 56%)
13 weeks ago
htlsales predicted Ike (H$20 at 55%)
13 weeks ago
chull predicted Ike (H$250 at 55%)
13 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted Ike (H$100 at 59%)
13 weeks ago
thomismydad[Power User] predicted Ike (H$500 at 53%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 hubdubbob
@bayoubear - So you live in Gulfport, MS. When I was a kid, back in the late 50s and early 60s, my family would go to Gulfport and Biloxi for vacation. We would take the ferry out to Ship Island and Fort Massachusetts. Had a great time there. Haven't been there since then. I understand Ship Island took a hit from Katrina, and split the island.
posted 20 weeks ago
Um, Labor Day is September 1. The question references September 7. Clarify, please....
posted 14 weeks ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
Whoops! Have amended background info and suspend date because Labour Day is on Sept 1 this year.
posted 14 weeks ago

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