
What will be the name of the first tropical storm/hurricane after Labor Day?
Ike formed on Labor Day, so Josephine will be the next named TS/Hurricane
Background:>
Will we get that far this year? What will be the first named storm following Labor Day, Sept 1. The storm must not be named prior to Labor Day...if there is a named storm on LD it won't count. It would be the next one.
Closing this one on 8/29, just to allow a few days to see what develops.
Does not have to hit anything, just be named. Must be Atlantic Basin, which includes the Caribbean and the Gulf.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Fay |
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Gustav |
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Hanna |
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Ike |
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Josephine |
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Kyle |
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Laura |
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Either Christobal or Dolly |
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Nana, Omar, Paloma |
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Any other name |
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Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 5:13am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Fay: 6%, Gustav: 10%, Hanna: 14%, Ike: 14%, Josephine: 15%, Kyle: 13%, Laura: 9%, Either Christobal or Dolly: 5%, Nana, Omar, Paloma: 9%, Any other name: 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 5:13am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (125)
125 predictions
Comments (3)
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