Created Thu 10th Jul 9:44pm PDT by 
cbloom
All questions » World » Other » cbloom 
Which country will be the first to be balkanized?
Current forecast: None of the above (68% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is None of the above with a probability of 68% (down 1% in last 1 day)
These countries are hotspots of political division, encompassing hostile segments within their own borders. Which one will fracture first? (by suspend date)
Make your prediction!
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Bolivia |
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Belgium |
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Iraq |
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Sudan |
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Zimbabwe |
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None of the above |
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Activity: H$997
Question suspends in 3 years
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 11th Jul 2012 12:59am PDT (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Bolivia: 5%, Belgium: 5%, Iraq: 5%, Sudan: 5%, Zimbabwe: 5%, None of the above: 75%
Action history:
Created Thu 10th Jul 9:44pm PDT by cbloom
cbloom
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (13)
13 predictions
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Iraq (H$100 at 5%)
kruijs
eva_elfjeComments (0)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
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most serious challenge to this political order since Slobodan Milosevic unleashed the demons of ethnic nationalism in the Balkans.' Never mind their outlandish reversal of truth - about a US-led NATO aggression. Blaming Serbs for their own actions.
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