Created Thu 10th Jul 9:44pm PDT by
cbloom
All questions » World » Other » 
Which country will be the first to be balkanized?
Current forecast: None of the above (68% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is None of the above with a probability of 68% (down 1% in last 1 day)
These countries are hotspots of political division, encompassing hostile segments within their own borders. Which one will fracture first? (by suspend date)
Make your prediction!
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Bolivia |
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Belgium |
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Iraq |
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Sudan |
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Zimbabwe |
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None of the above |
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Activity: H$997
Question suspends in 3 years
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 11th Jul 2012 12:59am PDT (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Bolivia: 5%, Belgium: 5%, Iraq: 5%, Sudan: 5%, Zimbabwe: 5%, None of the above: 75%
Action history:
Created Thu 10th Jul 9:44pm PDT by
cbloom
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Predictions (13)
13 predictions
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Washington Times 1 day ago
LA PAZ, BOLIVIA (AP) - Bolivia's leftist president says he's moving the country's lone Middle Eastern embassy to Iran as he builds increasingly warm ties with one of Washington's least-favorite countries. Until now,
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most serious challenge to this political order since Slobodan Milosevic unleashed the demons of ethnic nationalism in the Balkans.' Never mind their outlandish reversal of truth - about a US-led NATO aggression. Blaming Serbs for their own actions.
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The National Interest 4 days ago
of the national interest. While realists believe that we will be safer by seeking to avoid unnecessary broils, neocons believe that we will find more safety using our power to try to fashion a more benign world order. On these points, neocons are liberal
score: 10
Boston IMC 5 days ago
most serious challenge to this political order since Slobodan Milosevic unleashed the demons of ethnic nationalism in the Balkans.' Never mind their outlandish reversal of truth - about a US-led NATO aggression. Blaming Serbs for their own actions.






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