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When will the 3 German mountaineers, kidnapped by the PKK at Mt. Ararat, be released?

Settled as released or freed before July 21st.

On Tuesday, three mountaineers from Bavaria, intending to climb up Mt. Ararat, have been taken hostage by Kurdish extremists of the PKK. This organisation soon issued a statement asking for a change in German policies towards the PKK.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

released or freed before July 21st.
15%
released or freed between July 21st and July 31st
20%
released or freed in August
21%
released or freed in September
8%
released or freed in October
4%
still in captivity at the beginning of November
15%
confirmed dead by suspend date
17%
Activity: H$2,144
Settled as released or freed before July 21st. on Mon 21st Jul 12:59pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source, I would rely on www.spiegel.de

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 3:59pm PDT (8 weeks to go)

Settlement date: Mon 21st Jul 12:59pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 20th Jul 2:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: released or freed before July 21st.: 20%, released or freed between July 21st and July 31st: 15%, released or freed in August: 10%, released or freed in September: 10%, released or freed in October: 5%, still in captivity at the beginning of November: 20%, confirmed dead by suspend date: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Jul 12:12am PDT by hoernla
Settlement requested Mon 21st Jul 2am PDT by hoernla: As far as I know, the mountaineers are being brought back to Germany today.
Suspended Mon 21st Jul 4:56am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 21st Jul 4:56am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Appears they were released on the 20th, therefore settlement will be "Before the 21st of July"

http://www.welt.de/english-news/article2234317/Kurdish_rebel_group_releases_three_German_tourists_following_week-long_hostage.html

Prediction cutoff: 7/20 10:00 EDT (market suspended)
Settled as 'released or freed before July 21st.' Mon 21st Jul 12:59pm PDT by lesley[Admin]: They were released yesterday (July 20th)
http://www.welt.de/english-news/article2234317/Kurdish_rebel_group_releases_three_German_tourists_following_week-long_hostage.html
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source, I would rely on www.spiegel.de... read all

 

Predictions (10)

10 predictions

6 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted released or freed in August (H$100 at 20%)
6 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted released or freed in August (H$100 at 18%)
6 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted released or freed between July 21st and July 31st (H$50 at 19%)
6 weeks ago
quorny predicted released or freed in August (H$20 at 16%)
7 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted released or freed before July 21st. (H$350 at 19%)
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