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Will the whereabouts of missing female soldier, (2nd Lt. Holley Wimunc), be known by Aug 01, 2008?

Settled as Whereabouts are known and is dead.

It appears yet another female soldier is missing.

Authorities are searching for a female soldier missing after a fire burned the apartment of 2nd Lt. Holley Wimunc near Fort Bragg in North Carolina. Investigators found evidence of arson.

Link to Story: http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/07/11/woman.soldier/index.html?eref=rss_us


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Whereabouts are known and is alive.
8%
Whereabouts are known and is dead.
73%
Whereabouts are not known. (Still Missing)
14%
Any other outcome not listed above.
4%
Activity: H$6,893
Settled as Whereabouts are known and is dead. on Mon 14th Jul 7:02am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 29th Jul 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 14th Jul 7:02am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Whereabouts are known and is alive.: 25%, Whereabouts are known and is dead.: 30%, Whereabouts are not known. (Still Missing): 35%, Any other outcome not listed above.: 10%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Jul 8:27am PDT by hubdubbob
Suspended Mon 14th Jul 6:57am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 14th Jul 6:57am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "Whereabouts are known and is dead."

"A statement from Jesse James, father of Holley Wimunc:"

<http://www.wral.com/news/local/story/3201023/>


Prediction cut-off:
7:27 a.m. EDT July 14, 2008 (market suspended)
Settled as 'Whereabouts are known and is dead.' Mon 14th Jul 7:02am PDT by tisha[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 29th Jul 9:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 14th Jul 7:02am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

18 weeks ago
ryanb37 predicted Whereabouts are known and is dead. (H$2,600 at 64%)
18 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted Whereabouts are known and is dead. (H$100 at 38%)
18 weeks ago
swilson[Power User] predicted Whereabouts are not known. (Still Missing) (H$100 at 38%)
18 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Whereabouts are not known. (Still Missing) (H$100 at 37%)
19 weeks ago
that_pete_guy predicted Whereabouts are not known. (Still Missing) (H$100 at 35%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 dieseldog
if where abouts are unknowin, how would you know if she's dead or alive? if she's dead or alive they would know where she's at..correct?
posted 19 weeks ago
@ dieseldog -- not sure if you're asking a question or making a comment ;-)

Presented differently, the options are:
(1) Found alive
(2) Found dead
(3) Not found
(4) Any other outcome

-- by August 1, 2008
posted 19 weeks ago
  3 markov
Wording confused me, too.
posted 18 weeks ago
  4 dieseldog
@newswrangler..kinda both. i was pretty sure thats what hub-bob was asking. i'm not one to flag many questions, and was hoping somebody would make it clear to all. you did a fine job, and the question didn't need voided and reposted. thanks. have a nice day.
posted 18 weeks ago

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