Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Who will win Gold in the men's 50 meter freestyle?

Settled as Cesar Cielo (BR)

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/SW/C73A1/SWM010101.shtml#SWM010101

Background:

AMONG the most intriguing events at this summer's Olympic Games in Beijing will be the men's 50-meter freestyle. The event has been taken to a different level in recent months, thanks to the likes of Eamon Sullivan and Alain Bernard. More, the event doesn't even compare to what it was at the 2004 Olympics in Athens, when only two men cracked the 22-second barrier.

When the fastest men in the world gather in China this summer, barely dipping under 22 seconds will hardly - so it seems - get a sniff of a medal. Heck, it might not even get a place in the championship final. Yes, the one-lap sprint has gotten that fast, and all indications suggest it will continue to get faster.

Historical Perspective

Defending: Gary Hall Jr. (United States) - 21.93.
World-Record Holder: Alain Bernard (France) - 21.50.
Most Titles: United States (Four) - Matt Biondi (1988); Anthony Ervin (2000); Gary Hall Jr. (2000/2004).
Notable: At the beginning of this year, Alex Popov, the great Russian sprinter, was the world-record holder at 21.64. Now, the two-time Olympic champion is the third-fastest man in history, trailing France's Alain Bernard (21.50) and Australian Eamon Sullivan (21.51). Look for the legendary Popov to be bumped down a few more slots.

Source: http://www.swimmingworldmagazine.com/premium/swimming_world/swpdf.asp?a=2008OlympicIssue.pdf


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Alain Bernard (FR)
43%
Eamon Sullivan (AUS)
33%
Ben Wildman-Tobriner (USA)
2%
Garrett Weber-Gale (USA)
2%
Cesar Cielo (BR)
10%
Someone else
10%
Activity: H$30,895
Settled as Cesar Cielo (BR) on Fri 15th Aug 8:04pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 15th Aug 7:30pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 15th Aug 8:04pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th Aug 7:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Alain Bernard (FR): 35%, Eamon Sullivan (AUS): 20%, Ben Wildman-Tobriner (USA): 20%, Garrett Weber-Gale (USA): 10%, Cesar Cielo (BR): 10%, Someone else: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Jul 12:44pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Fri 15th Aug 7:30pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 15th Aug 7:58pm PDT by guibraguim: CESAR CIELO FROM BRAZILLL!!!!
Settled as 'Cesar Cielo (BR)' Fri 15th Aug 8:04pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/SW/C73A1/SWM010101.shtml#SWM010101

Suspend date: Fri 15th Aug 7:30pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 15th Aug 8:04pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th Aug 7:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (134)

134 predictions

14 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Alain Bernard (FR) (H$500 at 40%)
14 weeks ago
space_oracle predicted Alain Bernard (FR) (H$50 at 39%)
14 weeks ago
guibraguim predicted Cesar Cielo (BR) (H$130 at 12%)
14 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Eamon Sullivan (AUS) (H$263 at 46%)
14 weeks ago
jughead55 predicted Eamon Sullivan (AUS) (H$20 at 44%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 htlsales
I could be mistaken, but I think this race is today. Should it suspend today?
posted 14 weeks ago
Its the first set of heats today. The finals are on Saturday and this question closes about 30 minutes prior to the finals. (Thanks for checking though, the time conversion between Beijing and the East Coast has me constantly confused on these suspend times!)
posted 14 weeks ago
  3 htlsales
Thanks. I didn't realize today were the heats and the finals are Saturday. Jeeezzzz......
posted 14 weeks ago
  4 tomg[Admin]
So why isn't Phelps in this one too?
posted 14 weeks ago
  5 lesley[Admin]
don't blink or you'll miss it!
posted 14 weeks ago
  6 tisha[Admin]
I'm an Australian in Paris watching the Olympics coverage - how painful!! They showed the replay of Bernard pipping Sullivan to the post in the 100m like 500 times yesterday! (well, I guess Bernard has made up 50% of the country's gold medal tally ... lol)

Go Eamon go - now not only national pride, but $$H are on the line!!
posted 14 weeks ago
CESAR CIELO FROM BRAZIL! YEAHHH! =DDD
posted 14 weeks ago
@ guibraguim - fantástico!
posted 14 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more