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Which Blog Will Be Next To Be Acquired?

Background: PaidContent has been acquired by the UK's Guardian Media Group, reports Kara Swisher of AllThingsD. With Conde Naste hoovering up Ars Technica in May the ranks of independent tech bloggers is thinning out there. And a credit crunch combined with old media's interest in buying into a significant web presence suggests that more tech blogs are likely to be acquired soon.

So who will be next? Well, Duncan Riley of The Inquisitr (and formerly of TechCrunch) thinks TechCrunch is next. Mike Arrington himself has set out a blog roll-up strategy with most commentators expecting that TechCrunch wants to play top carnivore. In fact in April, ValleyWag reported that TechCrunch and VentureBeat were in merger talks though nothing came of it.

ValleyWag itself could be next up with its parent company, Gawker Media, having recently old three blogs in April. The other possible is GigaOm with founder Om Malik suffering from a heart attack in January although both he and GigaOm have now bounced back into excellent form. On anyone's list would be Mashable, with founder Pete Cashmore having recently moved to San Francisco. And finally, Duncan Riley with brand new The Inquisitr. Arrington said he would like to buy him back one day but it is unlikely if that day is any time soon.

Settlement details:This question will be settled as the next one of the named list of blogs to be acquired. Acquisition involves a full acquisition of either blog or parent company (e.g. Gawker Media in the case of ValleyWag).

 
Forecast history %
TechCrunch
19%
VentureBeat
18%
Silicon Alley Insider
7%
GigaOm
7%
Mashable
10%
ReadWriteWeb
7%
ValleyWag
8%
Center Networks
6%
Boing Boing
11%
The Inquisitr
7%
Question suspends in 25 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (25 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: TechCrunch: 10%, VentureBeat: 10%, Silicon Alley Insider: 10%, GigaOm: 10%, Mashable: 10%, ReadWriteWeb: 10%, ValleyWag: 10%, Center Networks: 10%, Boing Boing: 10%, The Inquisitr: 10%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Jul 2008 12:41pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Changed Suspend date Wed 31st Dec 2008 7:57am PST by tomg[Admin]: was: "2008-12-31 23:59:00"

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (25 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (75)

3 weeks ago
petefin predicted TechCrunch (H$100 at 20%)
3 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted VentureBeat (H$20 at 18%)
24 weeks ago
webrazzi predicted TechCrunch (H$100 at 18%)
26 weeks ago
kgholderman predicted VentureBeat (H$20 at 18%)
26 weeks ago
chris[Admin] predicted Mashable (H$100 at 9%)

Comments (1)

AllThingsD is pointing at TechCrunch: http://kara.allthingsd.com/20080711/paidcontents-rafat-ali-speaks-so-heres-whos-next/

That's where my money is going...
posted 50 weeks ago

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