Created Sat 12th Jul 9:43pm PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
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Who will win Arizona in the 2008 Presidential Election?
Settled as McCain
Arizona is GOP nominee John McCain's home state. It's very likely that McCain will win the state in the election. That said as per current Rasmussen polling McCain enjoys only a 9 point lead in the state. This is down from a 20 point lead which McCain enjoyed prior to Clinton's defeat.
The state has voted Republican in every election but one since 1952. So it's unlikely Obama can win the state.
Source
* Due to the impending creation of a "Hubdub Electoral Map" and the need to have multi-option state markets instead of yes/no ones, this market will not be seen as a duplicate of this market
The state has voted Republican in every election but one since 1952. So it's unlikely Obama can win the state.
Source
* Due to the impending creation of a "Hubdub Electoral Map" and the need to have multi-option state markets instead of yes/no ones, this market will not be seen as a duplicate of this market
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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McCain |
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Obama |
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Activity: H$105,493
Settled as McCain on Wed 5th Nov 10:52am PST
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 10:52am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: McCain: 80%, Obama: 20%
Action history:
Created Sat 12th Jul 9:43pm PDT by ryanj
ryanj
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:11am PST by 
destry: was: "2008-11-03 15:59:00"
destry: was: "2008-11-03 15:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 3pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 4th Nov 3:22pm PST by destry: was: "2008-11-04 15:00:00"
destry: was: "2008-11-04 15:00:00"
Unsuspended Tue 4th Nov 3:22pm PST by destry: Unsuspended until polls close
destry: Unsuspended until polls close
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 5th Nov 9:24am PST by 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: Winning prediction = McCain
McCain 1,012,262 54%
Obama 850,740 45%
99% precincts reporting -
12:22 p.m. EST, Nov 5 '08
<http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/individual/#mapPAZ>
newswrangler: Winning prediction = McCain
McCain 1,012,262 54%
Obama 850,740 45%
99% precincts reporting -
12:22 p.m. EST, Nov 5 '08
<http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/individual/#mapPAZ>
Settled as 'McCain' Wed 5th Nov 10:52am PST by destry
destry
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 10:52am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
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239 predictions
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score: 10
Herald Sun 2 weeks ago
leading his campaign to insist victory was still possible. The non-partisan RealClearPolitics.com polling average saw Virginia and Ohio slip from 'leaning Obama' to 'toss-ups', while polls in swing states such as Missouri and North Carolina also showed a
score: 10
MarketWatch 2 weeks ago
his own vote in Chicago just before 8 a.m. Central time. McCain, a Republican, voted later in Arizona. Long lines at the polls Tuesday suggested the possibility of a record-breaking turnout. Both senators planned to visit a few more states even on
score: 10
News.com.au 2 weeks ago
From correspondents in New Hampshire Agence France-Presse Text size Early lead ... the tally for the first voters for the US presidential election posted in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire shows Barack Obama
score: 10
Al Jazeera 2 weeks ago
Voting is under way in the US presidential election after months of furious campaigning by Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, and John McCain, his Republican rival.Residents of Dixville Notch and Hart's Location, two villages in New Hampshire with
score: 10
Donga.com 2 weeks ago
will come at 9 a.m. in Virginia (13 electoral votes) and Indiana (11) in the East Coast. Ohio (20) will release its results at 9:30 p.m. If Barack Obama wins Virginia, he will be the first Democrat to win the crucial state since 1964. Real Clear
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