Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

How many shootings will Chicago have in the summer of 2008?

Voided

The market appears to be a repost of a market that was already posted by the same creator. Due to this one being a duplicate it's been voided. The link to the original market is here:
http://www.hubdub.com/m10491/How_many_shootings_will_Chicago_have_in_the_summer_of_2008

Background:

CBS 2 Chicago is tracking all the shootings in Chicago this summer. ( unofficial summer Memorial Day through Labor Day), How many will there be? There have been over 100 shootings as of July 2, 2008.


http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=104675750739697697598.00044e3957099c263f47c&ll=41.79384,-87.61734&spn=0.457659,0.933838&source=embed


Settlement details: As reported by CBS 2 Chicago.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Under 150
10%
150 - 200
10%
201 - 250
30%
251 - 300
20%
301 - 350
15%
Over 350
15%
Voided Wed 13th Aug 7:47am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Under 150: 10%, 150 - 200: 10%, 201 - 250: 30%, 251 - 300: 20%, 301 - 350: 15%, Over 350: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 13th Jul 7:22pm PDT by morgie
Voided Wed 13th Aug 7:47am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: The market appears to be a repost of a market that was already posted by the same creator. Due to this one being a duplicate it's been voided. The link to the original market is here:
http://www.hubdub.com/m10491/How_many_shootings_will_Chicago_have_in_the_summer_of_2008

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (12)

12 predictions

14 weeks ago
morgie predicted Over 350 (H$100 at 13%)
18 weeks ago
morgie predicted Over 350 (H$50 at 12%)
18 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted 201 - 250 (H$500 at 30%)
18 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted 251 - 300 (H$300 at 21%)
18 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted 150 - 200 (H$300 at 12%)

Comments (3)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
Summer ends with the suspend date of this question?
posted 18 weeks ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
Question has been edited to reflect the background info - suspend date is Labor day, September 1. As the question asks 'in', shootings up until the end of the day September 1 will be included.

Also, the option text was amended slightly - first option changed from 151-200 to 150-200

Thanks
posted 18 weeks ago
If someone wants to double check, I counted 204 as of August 7th.
posted 15 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more