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Beijing Olympics - Men's 100m - Who will win Gold?

Settled as Usain Bolt

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73A/ATM001101.shtml#ATM001101

Background:

Possibly the most anticipated (and hyped) match up of the Olympic games: three amazing athletes in the marquee event of the games. Jamaican teammates Asafa Powell, Usain Bolt and the USA's Tyson Gay all hold valid claims to the title of Worlds Fastest Man and now they will go head to head. Powell has held the record for quite some time, only to have it snatched away by Bolt at the end of May. Tyson Gay, of course, has recently run the fastest time ever recorded for the 100m dash, a wind-aided 9.68 seconds. No matter who wins, there's a definite chance the world record will fall again when these three men face each other in the finals on August 16th.

Source: http://blog.hubdub.com/2008/08/03/2008-olympics-mini-preview-track-and-field/

Also see: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_100m_mens_world_record_in_running_be_broken_in_the_beijing_olympics__5288/view


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Tyson Gay
0%
Usain Bolt
81%
Asafa Powell
15%
Derrick Atkins
0%
Walter Dix
1%
Other
2%
Activity: H$57,995
Settled as Usain Bolt on Sat 16th Aug 7:49am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 16th Aug 7:30am PDT Settlement date: Sat 16th Aug 7:49am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 16th Aug 7:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Tyson Gay: 30%, Usain Bolt: 30%, Asafa Powell: 28%, Derrick Atkins: 5%, Walter Dix: 5%, Other: 2%

Action history:

Created Sun 13th Jul 9:13pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]
Suspended Sat 16th Aug 7:30am PDT : Suspend date reached

Suspend date: Sat 16th Aug 7:30am PDT Settlement date: Sat 16th Aug 7:49am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 16th Aug 7:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (180)

180 predictions

13 weeks ago
jughead55 predicted Usain Bolt (H$100 at 81%)
13 weeks ago
sdassani predicted Asafa Powell (H$20 at 15%)
13 weeks ago
sdassani predicted Usain Bolt (H$20 at 81%)
13 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Usain Bolt (H$1,000 at 79%)
13 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted Usain Bolt (H$1,500 at 73%)
more

Comments (6)

Check out: http://blog.hubdub.com/2008/08/03/2008-olympics-mini-preview-track-and-field/ for Track stuff to watch for during the Olympics
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 orlin
It would be good if suspend time is adjusted to the start of the final - 10.30 AM ET Saturday.
posted 14 weeks ago
@ orlin -- the best way to capture the attention of a category editor -- to make changes, or for any other reason -- is to send a flag, via the "Flag for review link".
posted 14 weeks ago
unless said category editor lurks around the Olympics pages endlessly... in which case comments seem to work pretty well!

Just kidding. Definite best practice is flagging, but this market has been edited to Sat 1030 EDT.
posted 14 weeks ago
  5 orlin
Thank you!
posted 13 weeks ago
  6 robuk[Admin]
This was an incredible race. He could have knocked quite a bit off the world record. I liked the comment that he'd concentrate on the world record some other time.
posted 13 weeks ago

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