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MLB - What will Mariano Rivera's ERA be at end of season?

Settled as 1.01 - 1.50

1.40

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/5400

Background:

The future hall of fame closer for the Yankees has an amazing 1.06 ERA at the all-star break.
He also has 23 saves without a single blown save so far this year.

Great start to season, where will is ERA be when regular season ends?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

0.50 or Below
1%
0.51 -1.00
3%
1.01 - 1.50
42%
1.51 - 2.00
48%
2.01 - 2.50
3%
2.51 - 3.00
2%
3.01 or Above
1%
Activity: H$12,342
Settled as 1.01 - 1.50 on Mon 29th Sep 6:23am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 20th Sep 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 29th Sep 6:23am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 20th Sep 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0.50 or Below: 5%, 0.51 -1.00: 15%, 1.01 - 1.50: 25%, 1.51 - 2.00: 25%, 2.01 - 2.50: 15%, 2.51 - 3.00: 10%, 3.01 or Above : 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 13th Jul 11:18pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]
Suspended Sat 20th Sep 8:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 29th Sep 3:15am PDT by pitchedoutsideleg: 1.40

http://mlb.mlb.com/team/player.jsp?player_id=121250
Settlement requested Mon 29th Sep 5:38am PDT by aland: Hi category editor! The regular season just ended and Mo's ERA is reported at 1.40. Can we settle this one? Thanks, AlanD (Malaysia)

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/5400
Settled as '1.01 - 1.50' Mon 29th Sep 6:23am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: 1.40

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/5400

Suspend date: Sat 20th Sep 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 29th Sep 6:23am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 20th Sep 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (18)

18 predictions

8 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 1.01 - 1.50 (H$1,000 at 36%)
9 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted 1.01 - 1.50 (H$500 at 26%)
9 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted 1.51 - 2.00 (H$1,000 at 60%)
9 weeks ago
fijis predicted 1.51 - 2.00 (H$300 at 53%)
10 weeks ago
aland predicted 1.01 - 1.50 (H$200 at 38%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 fijis
His ERA has gone up every month this season. Over his career his ERA jumps 0.40 after the AS break. Just to keep things confusing - last year his ERA went DOWN 1.27 after the AS break.
posted 16 weeks ago

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