ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
Who will win Alaska in the 2008 presidential election?
| Results from 2004: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Share of vote |
| Bush (rep) | 190889 | 61.07% |
| Kerry (dem) | 111025 | 35.52% |
| Others | 10684 | 3.42% |
| Total | 312598 | 100% |
| source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml | ||
Settlement details:
Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media
Settled
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McCain |
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Obama |
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Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 3pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 12:39pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: McCain: 84%, Obama: 16%
Action history:
ryanj 
destry: show detailsdestry: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00" 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Winning prediction = "McCain"
McCain 136,348 62%
Obama 80,340 36%
99% of precincts reporting
<http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/state/#AK>
destry
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 3pm PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 12:39pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Get widget!Predictions (72)
72 predictions
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