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Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Who will win D. C. in the 2008 presidential election?

Settled as Obama

D. C. has 3 electoral college votes and was safe democratic country in 2004, but will they swing in 08?
Results from 2004:
CandidateVotesShare of vote
Bush (rep)212569.34%
Kerry (dem)20297089.18%
Others33601.48%
Total227586100%
source: http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/federalelections2004.shtml


Settlement details: Determined by actual ballot results (not forecasts) as reported in mainstream media

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

 McCain
0%
Obama
100%
Activity: H$13,020
Settled as Obama on Tue 4th Nov 9:50pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:50pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: McCain: 1%, Obama: 99%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jul 4:50am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Changed Description Mon 3rd Nov 8:14am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... will they swing in 08?<br/><br/><table class="usertable" align="center"
Changed Suspend date Mon 3rd Nov 8:14am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2008-11-03 23:59:00"
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Obama' Tue 4th Nov 9:50pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 9:50pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

2 weeks ago
randomnumbers predicted Obama (H$650 at 100%)
2 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted Obama (H$10,000 at 98%)
2 weeks ago
gianmy predicted Obama (H$50 at 96%)
3 weeks ago
sosakan predicted Obama (H$20 at 98%)
4 weeks ago
tpillon predicted Obama (H$50 at 99%)
more

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